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3.1.2.3 Specialist monitoring techniques
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ILLINOIS PROFESSIONAL TEACHING STANDARDS (2013) Standard 1 - Teaching Diverse Students – The competent teacher understands the diverse characteristics and abilities of each student and how individuals develop and learn within the context of their social, economic, cultural, linguistic, and academic experiences. The teacher uses these experiences to create instructional opportunities that maximize student learning. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 1A) understands the spectrum of student diversity (e.g., race and ethnicity, socioeconomic status, special education, gifted, English language learners (ELL), sexual orientation, gender, gender identity) and the assets that each student brings to learning across the curriculum; 1B) understands how each student constructs knowledge, acquires skills, and develops effective and efficient critical thinking and problem-solving capabilities; 1C) understands how teaching and student learning are influenced by development (physical, social and emotional, cognitive, linguistic), past experiences, talents, prior knowledge, economic circumstances and diversity within the community; 1D) understands the impact of cognitive, emotional, physical, and sensory disabilities on learning and communication pursuant to the Individuals with Disabilities Education Improvement Act (also referred to as “IDEA”) (20 USC 1400 et seq.), its implementing regulations (34 CFR 300; 2006), Article 14 of the School Code [105 ILCS 5/Art.14] and 23 Ill. Adm. Code 226 (Special Education); 1E) understands the impact of linguistic and cultural diversity on learning and communication; 1F) understands his or her personal perspectives and biases and their effects on one’s teaching; and 1G) understands how to identify individual needs and how to locate and access technology, services, and resources to address those needs. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 1H) analyzes and uses student information to design instruction that meets the diverse needs of students and leads to ongoing growth and achievement; 1I) stimulates prior knowledge and links new ideas to already familiar ideas and experiences; 1J) differentiates strategies, materials, pace, levels of complexity, and language to introduce concepts and principles so that they are meaningful to students at varying levels of development and to students with diverse learning needs; 1K) facilitates a learning community in which individual differences are respected; and 1L) uses information about students’ individual experiences, families, cultures, and communities to create meaningful learning opportunities and enrich instruction for all students. Standard 2 - Content Area and Pedagogical Knowledge – The competent teacher has in-depth understanding of content area knowledge that includes central concepts, methods of inquiry, structures of the disciplines, and content area literacy. The teacher creates meaningful learning experiences for each student based upon interactions among content area and pedagogical knowledge, and evidence-based practice. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 2A) understands theories and philosophies of learning and human development as they relate to the range of students in the classroom; 2B) understands major concepts, assumptions, debates, and principles; processes of inquiry; and theories that are central to the disciplines; 2C) understands the cognitive processes associated with various kinds of learning (e.g., critical and creative thinking, problem-structuring and problem-solving, invention, memorization, and recall) 2 and ensures attention to these learning processes so that students can master content standards; 2D) understands the relationship of knowledge within the disciplines to other content areas and to life applications; 2E) understands how diverse student characteristics and abilities affect processes of inquiry and influence patterns of learning; 2F) knows how to access the tools and knowledge related to latest findings (e.g., research, practice, methodologies) and technologies in the disciplines; 2G) understands the theory behind and the process for providing support to promote learning when concepts and skills are first being introduced; and 2H) understands the relationship among language acquisition (first and second), literacy development, and acquisition of academic content and skills. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 2I) evaluates teaching resources and materials for appropriateness as related to curricular content and each student’s needs; 2J) uses differing viewpoints, theories, and methods of inquiry in teaching subject matter concepts; 2K) engages students in the processes of critical thinking and inquiry and addresses standards of evidence of the disciplines; 2L) demonstrates fluency in technology systems, uses technology to support instruction and enhance student learning, and designs learning experiences to develop student skills in the application of technology appropriate to the disciplines; 2M) uses a variety of explanations and multiple representations of concepts that capture key ideas to help each student develop conceptual understanding and address common misunderstandings; 2N) facilitates learning experiences that make connections to other content areas and to life experiences; 2O) designs learning experiences and utilizes assistive technology and digital tools to provide access to general curricular content to individuals with disabilities; 2P) adjusts practice to meet the needs of each student in the content areas; and 2Q) applies and adapts an array of content area literacy strategies to make all subject matter accessible to each student. Standard 3 - Planning for Differentiated Instruction – The competent teacher plans and designs instruction based on content area knowledge, diverse student characteristics, student performance data, curriculum goals, and the community context. The teacher plans for ongoing student growth and achievement. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 3A) understands the Illinois Learning Standards (23 Ill. Adm. Code 1.Appendix D), curriculum development process, content, learning theory, assessment, and student development and knows how to incorporate this knowledge in planning differentiated instruction; 3B) understands how to develop short- and long-range plans, including transition plans, consistent with curriculum goals, student diversity, and learning theory; 3C) understands cultural, linguistic, cognitive, physical, and social and emotional differences, and considers the needs of each student when planning instruction; 3D) understands when and how to adjust plans based on outcome data, as well as student needs, goals, and responses; 3E) understands the appropriate role of technology, including assistive technology, to address student needs, as well as how to incorporate contemporary tools and resources to maximize student learning; 3 3F) understands how to co-plan with other classroom teachers, parents or guardians, paraprofessionals, school specialists, and community representatives to design learning experiences; and 3G) understands how research and data guide instructional planning, delivery, and adaptation. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 3H) establishes high expectations for each student’s learning and behavior; 3I) creates short-term and long-term plans to achieve the expectations for student learning; 3J) uses data to plan for differentiated instruction to allow for variations in individual learning needs; 3K) incorporates experiences into instructional practices that relate to a student’s current life experiences and to future life experiences; 3L) creates approaches to learning that are interdisciplinary and that integrate multiple content areas; 3M) develops plans based on student responses and provides for different pathways based on student needs; 3N) accesses and uses a wide range of information and instructional technologies to enhance a student’s ongoing growth and achievement; 3O) when planning instruction, addresses goals and objectives contained in plans developed under Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 (29 USC 794), individualized education programs (IEP) (see 23 Ill. Adm. Code 226 (Special Education)) or individual family service plans (IFSP) (see 23 Ill. Adm. Code 226 and 34 CFR 300.24; 2006); 3P) works with others to adapt and modify instruction to meet individual student needs; and 3Q) develops or selects relevant instructional content, materials, resources, and strategies (e.g., project-based learning) for differentiating instruction. Standard 4 - Learning Environment – The competent teacher structures a safe and healthy learning environment that facilitates cultural and linguistic responsiveness, emotional well-being, self-efficacy, positive social interaction, mutual respect, active engagement, academic risk-taking, self-motivation, and personal goal-setting. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 4A) understands principles of and strategies for effective classroom and behavior management; 4B) understands how individuals influence groups and how groups function in society; 4C) understands how to help students work cooperatively and productively in groups; 4D) understands factors (e.g., self-efficacy, positive social interaction) that influence motivation and engagement; 4E) knows how to assess the instructional environment to determine how best to meet a student’s individual needs; 4F) understands laws, rules, and ethical considerations regarding behavior intervention planning and behavior management (e.g., bullying, crisis intervention, physical restraint); 4G) knows strategies to implement behavior management and behavior intervention planning to ensure a safe and productive learning environment; and 4H) understands the use of student data (formative and summative) to design and implement behavior management strategies. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 4I) creates a safe and healthy environment that maximizes student learning; 4J) creates clear expectations and procedures for communication and behavior and a physical setting conducive to achieving classroom goals; 4K) uses strategies to create a smoothly functioning learning community in which students assume responsibility for themselves and one another, participate in decision-making, work collaboratively and independently, use appropriate technology, and engage in purposeful learning activities; 4 4L) analyzes the classroom environment and makes decisions to enhance cultural and linguistic responsiveness, mutual respect, positive social relationships, student motivation, and classroom engagement; 4M) organizes, allocates, and manages time, materials, technology, and physical space to provide active and equitable engagement of students in productive learning activities; 4N) engages students in and monitors individual and group-learning activities that help them develop the motivation to learn; 4O) uses a variety of effective behavioral management techniques appropriate to the needs of all students that include positive behavior interventions and supports; 4P) modifies the learning environment (including the schedule and physical arrangement) to facilitate appropriate behaviors and learning for students with diverse learning characteristics; and 4Q) analyzes student behavior data to develop and support positive behavior. Standard 5 - Instructional Delivery – The competent teacher differentiates instruction by using a variety of strategies that support critical and creative thinking, problem-solving, and continuous growth and learning. This teacher understands that the classroom is a dynamic environment requiring ongoing modification of instruction to enhance learning for each student. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 5A) understands the cognitive processes associated with various kinds of learning; 5B) understands principles and techniques, along with advantages and limitations, associated with a wide range of evidence-based instructional practices; 5C) knows how to implement effective differentiated instruction through the use of a wide variety of materials, technologies, and resources; 5D) understands disciplinary and interdisciplinary instructional approaches and how they relate to life and career experiences; 5E) knows techniques for modifying instructional methods, materials, and the environment to facilitate learning for students with diverse learning characteristics; 5F) knows strategies to maximize student attentiveness and engagement; 5G) knows how to evaluate and use student performance data to adjust instruction while teaching; and 5H) understands when and how to adapt or modify instruction based on outcome data, as well as student needs, goals, and responses. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 5I) uses multiple teaching strategies, including adjusted pacing and flexible grouping, to engage students in active learning opportunities that promote the development of critical and creative thinking, problem-solving, and performance capabilities; 5J) monitors and adjusts strategies in response to feedback from the student; 5K) varies his or her role in the instructional process as instructor, facilitator, coach, or audience in relation to the content and purposes of instruction and the needs of students; 5L) develops a variety of clear, accurate presentations and representations of concepts, using alternative explanations to assist students’ understanding and presenting diverse perspectives to encourage critical and creative thinking; 5M) uses strategies and techniques for facilitating meaningful inclusion of individuals with a range of abilities and experiences; 5N) uses technology to accomplish differentiated instructional objectives that enhance learning for each student; 5O) models and facilitates effective use of current and emerging digital tools to locate, analyze, evaluate, and use information resources to support research and learning; 5P) uses student data to adapt the curriculum and implement instructional strategies and materials according to the characteristics of each student; 5 5Q) uses effective co-planning and co-teaching techniques to deliver instruction to all students; 5R) maximizes instructional time (e.g., minimizes transitional time); and 5S) implements appropriate evidence-based instructional strategies. Standard 6 - Reading, Writing, and Oral Communication – The competent teacher has foundational knowledge of reading, writing, and oral communication within the content area and recognizes and addresses student reading, writing, and oral communication needs to facilitate the acquisition of content knowledge. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 6A) understands appropriate and varied instructional approaches used before, during, and after reading, including those that develop word knowledge, vocabulary, comprehension, fluency, and strategy use in the content areas; 6B) understands that the reading process involves the construction of meaning through the interactions of the reader's background knowledge and experiences, the information in the text, and the purpose of the reading situation; 6C) understands communication theory, language development, and the role of language in learning; 6D) understands writing processes and their importance to content learning; 6E) knows and models standard conventions of written and oral communications; 6F) recognizes the relationships among reading, writing, and oral communication and understands how to integrate these components to increase content learning; 6G) understands how to design, select, modify, and evaluate a wide range of materials for the content areas and the reading needs of the student; 6H) understands how to use a variety of formal and informal assessments to recognize and address the reading, writing, and oral communication needs of each student; and 6I) knows appropriate and varied instructional approaches, including those that develop word knowledge, vocabulary, comprehension, fluency, and strategy use in the content areas. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 6J) selects, modifies, and uses a wide range of printed, visual, or auditory materials, and online resources appropriate to the content areas and the reading needs and levels of each student (including ELLs, and struggling and advanced readers); 6K) uses assessment data, student work samples, and observations from continuous monitoring of student progress to plan and evaluate effective content area reading, writing, and oral communication instruction; 6L) facilitates the use of appropriate word identification and vocabulary strategies to develop each student’s understanding of content; 6M) teaches fluency strategies to facilitate comprehension of content; 6N) uses modeling, explanation, practice, and feedback to teach students to monitor and apply comprehension strategies independently, appropriate to the content learning; 6O) teaches students to analyze, evaluate, synthesize, and summarize information in single texts and across multiple texts, including electronic resources; 6P) teaches students to develop written text appropriate to the content areas that utilizes organization (e.g., compare/contrast, problem/solution), focus, elaboration, word choice, and standard conventions (e.g., punctuation, grammar); 6Q) integrates reading, writing, and oral communication to engage students in content learning; 6R) works with other teachers and support personnel to design, adjust, and modify instruction to meet students’ reading, writing, and oral communication needs; and 6S) stimulates discussion in the content areas for varied instructional and conversational purposes. Standard 7 - Assessment – The competent teacher understands and uses appropriate formative and summative assessments for determining student needs, monitoring student progress, measuring student 6 growth, and evaluating student outcomes. The teacher makes decisions driven by data about curricular and instructional effectiveness and adjusts practices to meet the needs of each student. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 7A) understands the purposes, characteristics, and limitations of different types of assessments, including standardized assessments, universal screening, curriculum-based assessment, and progress monitoring tools; 7B) understands that assessment is a means of evaluating how students learn and what they know and are able to do in order to meet the Illinois Learning Standards; 7C) understands measurement theory and assessment-related issues, such as validity, reliability, bias, and appropriate and accurate scoring; 7D) understands current terminology and procedures necessary for the appropriate analysis and interpretation of assessment data; 7E) understands how to select, construct, and use assessment strategies and instruments for diagnosis and evaluation of learning and instruction; 7F) knows research-based assessment strategies appropriate for each student; 7G) understands how to make data-driven decisions using assessment results to adjust practices to meet the needs of each student; 7H) knows legal provisions, rules, and guidelines regarding assessment and assessment accommodations for all student populations; and 7I) knows assessment and progress monitoring techniques to assess the effectiveness of instruction for each student. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 7J) uses assessment results to determine student performance levels, identify learning targets, select appropriate research-based instructional strategies, and implement instruction to enhance learning outcomes; 7K) appropriately uses a variety of formal and informal assessments to evaluate the understanding, progress, and performance of an individual student and the class as a whole; 7L) involves students in self-assessment activities to help them become aware of their strengths and needs and encourages them to establish goals for learning; 7M) maintains useful and accurate records of student work and performance; 7N) accurately interprets and clearly communicates aggregate student performance data to students, parents or guardians, colleagues, and the community in a manner that complies with the requirements of the Illinois School Student Records Act [105 ILCS 10], 23 Ill. Adm. Code 375 (Student Records), the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA) (20 USC 1232g) and its implementing regulations (34 CFR 99; December 9, 2008); 7O) effectively uses appropriate technologies to conduct assessments, monitor performance, and assess student progress; 7P) collaborates with families and other professionals involved in the assessment of each student; 7Q) uses various types of assessment procedures appropriately, including making accommodations for individual students in specific contexts; and 7R) uses assessment strategies and devices that are nondiscriminatory, and take into consideration the impact of disabilities, methods of communication, cultural background, and primary language on measuring knowledge and performance of students. Standard 8 - Collaborative Relationships – The competent teacher builds and maintains collaborative relationships to foster cognitive, linguistic, physical, and social and emotional development. This teacher works as a team member with professional colleagues, students, parents or guardians, and community members. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 8A) understands schools as organizations within the larger community context; 7 8B) understands the collaborative process and the skills necessary to initiate and carry out that process; 8C) collaborates with others in the use of data to design and implement effective school interventions that benefit all students; 8D) understands the benefits, barriers, and techniques involved in parent and family collaborations; 8E) understands school- and work-based learning environments and the need for collaboration with all organizations (e.g., businesses, community agencies, nonprofit organizations) to enhance student learning; 8F) understands the importance of participating on collaborative and problem-solving teams to create effective academic and behavioral interventions for all students; 8G) understands the various models of co-teaching and the procedures for implementing them across the curriculum; 8H) understands concerns of families of students with disabilities and knows appropriate strategies to collaborate with students and their families in addressing these concerns; and 8I) understands the roles and the importance of including students with disabilities, as appropriate, and all team members in planning individualized education programs (i.e, IEP, IFSP, Section 504 plan) for students with disabilities. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 8J) works with all school personnel (e.g., support staff, teachers, paraprofessionals) to develop learning climates for the school that encourage unity, support a sense of shared purpose, show trust in one another, and value individuals; 8K) participates in collaborative decision-making and problem-solving with colleagues and other professionals to achieve success for all students; 8L) initiates collaboration with others to create opportunities that enhance student learning; 8M) uses digital tools and resources to promote collaborative interactions; 8N) uses effective co-planning and co-teaching techniques to deliver instruction to each student; 8O) collaborates with school personnel in the implementation of appropriate assessment and instruction for designated students; 8P) develops professional relationships with parents and guardians that result in fair and equitable treatment of each student to support growth and learning; 8Q) establishes respectful and productive relationships with parents or guardians and seeks to develop cooperative partnerships to promote student learning and well-being; 8R) uses conflict resolution skills to enhance the effectiveness of collaboration and teamwork; 8S) participates in the design and implementation of individualized instruction for students with special needs (i.e., IEPs, IFSP, transition plans, Section 504 plans), ELLs, and students who are gifted; and 8T) identifies and utilizes community resources to enhance student learning and to provide opportunities for students to explore career opportunities. Standard 9 - Professionalism, Leadership, and Advocacy – The competent teacher is an ethical and reflective practitioner who exhibits professionalism; provides leadership in the learning community; and advocates for students, parents or guardians, and the profession. Knowledge Indicators – The competent teacher: 9A) evaluates best practices and research-based materials against benchmarks within the disciplines; 9B) knows laws and rules (e.g., mandatory reporting, sexual misconduct, corporal punishment) as a foundation for the fair and just treatment of all students and their families in the classroom and school; 9C) understands emergency response procedures as required under the School Safety Drill Act [105 ILCS 128/1], including school safety and crisis intervention protocol, initial response 8 actions (e.g., whether to stay in or evacuate a building), and first response to medical emergencies (e.g., first aid and life-saving techniques); 9D) identifies paths for continuous professional growth and improvement, including the design of a professional growth plan; 9E) is cognizant of his or her emerging and developed leadership skills and the applicability of those skills within a variety of learning communities; 9F) understands the roles of an advocate, the process of advocacy, and its place in combating or promoting certain school district practices affecting students; 9G) understands local and global societal issues and responsibilities in an evolving digital culture; and 9H) understands the importance of modeling appropriate dispositions in the classroom. Performance Indicators – The competent teacher: 9I) models professional behavior that reflects honesty, integrity, personal responsibility, confidentiality, altruism and respect; 9J) maintains accurate records, manages data effectively, and protects the confidentiality of information pertaining to each student and family; 9K) reflects on professional practice and resulting outcomes; engages in self-assessment; and adjusts practices to improve student performance, school goals, and professional growth; 9L) communicates with families, responds to concerns, and contributes to enhanced family participation in student education; 9M) communicates relevant information and ideas effectively to students, parents or guardians, and peers, using a variety of technology and digital-age media and formats; 9N) collaborates with other teachers, students, parents or guardians, specialists, administrators, and community partners to enhance students’ learning and school improvement; 9O) participates in professional development, professional organizations, and learning communities, and engages in peer coaching and mentoring activities to enhance personal growth and development; 9P) uses leadership skills that contribute to individual and collegial growth and development, school improvement, and the advancement of knowledge in the teaching profession; 9Q) proactively serves all students and their families with equity and honor and advocates on their behalf, ensuring the learning and well-being of each child in the classroom; 9R) is aware of and complies with the mandatory reporter provisions of Section 4 of the Abused and Neglected Child Reporting Act [325 ILCS 5/4]; 9S) models digital etiquette and responsible social actions in the use of digital technology; and 9T) models and teaches safe, legal, and ethical use of digital information and technology, including respect for copyright, intellectual property, and the appropriate documentation of sources.New Trends in Agriculture Extension approaches Extension has been, and still is, under attack from a wide spectrum of politicians and economists over its cost and financing. As a result, Extension Systems have had to make changes, by restating the system’s mission, developing a new vision for the future, and formulating plans for the necessary transition to achieve the desired change. 1. Privatization of Agricultural Extension Service Privatization: Process of funding and delivering the extension services by private individual or organization is called Private Extension. Concept: Privatization of extension refers to services rendered in rural area & allied aspects of extension personnel working in private agencies or organization for which farmers are expected to pay a fee & it can be viewed as supplementary or alternative to public extension services (Sarvanan & Shivalinge 1980). Privatization approaches ➢ Share cropping system ➢ Village extension contract system ➢ Public extension through private delivery ➢ Service for vouchers Strengths of Private Extension System ➢ More demand - driven rather than supply – driven ➢ High quality of services in terms of satisfying information needs of clientele, trained manpower, sustained finances and resource allocation ➢ Provides for an information mix and choices available to farmers ➢ Enhanced efficiency of staff ➢ Assure continuous supply and quality agricultural products ➢ More effective because farmer can select an adviser who is the best able to help ➢ Healthy competition among service provider will lead to better quality and lower costs for service Weakness of Private Extension System ➢ Concentrate on area having favorable physical environment ➢ More face-to-face contacts (person oriented) ➢ Increased dependence of farmers and hence exploitation ➢ No education role ➢ Deprivation of small farmers ➢ Hamper the free flow of information 2. Cyber Extension or e-extension Concepts Cyber space: it is the imaginary or virtual space of computers connected with each other on Networks, across the Globe. Cyber extension: it means 'using the power of online networks, computer communications and digital interactive multimedia to facilitate dissemination of agriculture technology. Cyber Extension thus can be defined as the extension over cyber space. Important tools of cyber extension E-Mail, Telnet, File Transfer Protocol (FTP), Gopher, Archie and World Wide Web (WWW) Strengths of Cyber Extension ➢ Access to the astounding information and continuously available ➢ Information rich and instantaneously available of information ➢ Interactive communication ➢ The information is available from any point on the globe ➢ Communication is dynamic ➢ Cut steps from traditional process ➢ Save money, time and effort ➢ Multiplicity of purpose Issues and Concerns of Cyber Extension ➢ Lack of Reliable Telecom Infrastructure in Rural Areas ➢ Erratic or no Power Supply ➢ Lack of ICT Trained manpower (willing to serve) in Rural Areas ➢ Lack of content (locally relevant and in local languages) ➢ Lack of Information Services to Rural Clientele ➢ Low Purchasing power of the Rural communities ➢ Lack of Holistic Approaches ➢ Issues of Sustainability Application of cyber extension ➢ Village information shops Dr. M.S. SwaminathanResearch Foundation, Chennai ➢ Information villagers MANAGE in Ranga Reddy District in Andhra pradesh ➢ Gyandoot net initiative of District Dhar, Madhya Pradesh. ➢ Warna wired village of National Informatics Center (NIC) in Kolhapur- Sangli Districts of Maharashtra 3. Market-Led-Extension (MLE) Concepts Market: A congregation of prospective buyers & sellers with a common motive of trading a particular commodity. Extension: It is the spreading/reaching out to the mass Market-led-extension: Agriculture & economics coupled with extension is the perfect blend for reaching at the door steps of common man with the help of technology. Dimensions of market-led extension ➢ Marketing mix: A planned mix of the controllable elements of a product's marketing plan commonly termed as 4Ps: product, price, place, and promotion. These four elements are adjusted until the right combination is found that serves the needs of the product's customers, while generating optimum income. ➢ Marketing plan: A marketing plan is a comprehensive document that outlines a business and marketing efforts for the coming year. It describes business activities involved in accomplishing specific marketing objectives within a set time frame. A marketing plan also includes a description of the current marketing position of a business, a discussion of the target market and a description of the marketing mix that a business will use to achieve their marketing goals. ➢ Market Intelligence: It is the information relevant to a company’s markets, gathered and analyzed specifically for the purpose of accurate and confident decision making. Market intelligence includes the process of gathering data from the company’s external environment, whereas the business intelligence process is primarily based on internal recorded events – such as sales, shipments and purchases. ➢ Market oriented production ➢ Use of Technology Strengths of market-led extension ➢ SWOT analysis of the market ➢ Organization of Farmers’ Interest Groups (FIGs) ➢ Enhancing the interactive and communication skills of the farmers ➢ Establishing marketing and agro-processing linkages ➢ Advice on product planning ➢ Educating the farming community ➢ Direct marketing ➢ Acquiring complete market intelligence ➢ Publication of agricultural market information Production of video films of success stories ➢ Challenges to market-led extension ➢ Gigantic size of extension system ➢ Information technology Diverse conditions ➢ Market intelligence ➢ Reforms in agricultural extension system Government Initiatives ➢ Central warehousing Corporation-1965 ➢ MSP by Commission for Agricultural Cost and Price (CACP) ➢ Food Corporation of India ➢ Then some others as: Cotton Corporation of India (CCI), Jute Corporation of India (JCI), National Dairy Development Board (NDDB), Agriculture and Processed food Export Development Authority (APEDA) etc. 4. Farmer--Led-Extension (FLE) Farmer--led-extension is defined as 'the provision of training by farmers to farmers, often through the creation of a structure of farmer promoters and farmer trainers' (Scarborough et al., 1997). Philosophy and principles ➢ Farmers and local institutions (e.g. producer organizations or village leaders) should play a key role in selecting farmer-trainers and monitoring and evaluating them. This helps make the programmes more accountable to the community or groups that they serve. ➢ Farmer-trainers are ‘of the community’; they communicate in local languages and are more sensitive to local cultures, mannerisms, farming practices, and farmers’ needs. ➢ Farmer-trainers should be selected on the basis of their skills and interest in sharing information, not just on their farming expertise. ➢ Farmer-trainers need strong linkages with and support from development agents (whether government, non-government organization (NGO), or private), the people who train and backstop them. Farmer-trainers generally serve as a complement to existing extension systems, rather than being a substitute for them. ➢ Facilitating organizations and local institutions need to be proactive in ensuring that women as well as men become farmer-trainers. ➢ Simple and appropriate reference materials should be made available to the farmer trainers. Essential Elements of Farmer--led-extension ➢ The group ➢ The Field ➢ The Facilitator ➢ The curriculum ➢ Programme leader ➢ Financing Special features of Farmer--led-extension ➢ All learning is field based & it is primary venue for learning ➢ FLE group learning constantly over the experimentation period ➢ FLE promotes healthy decisions & quality decisions ➢ Farmers conduct their own field studies with comparisons or treatments ➢ Facilitates Farmer-to-Farmer communication ➢ Field staff serve as facilitators ➢ FLE is a unique way to educate farmers ➢ It is an effective platform for sharing of experiences and collectively solving agriculture related problems. 5. Expert system Expert system is an intelligent computer program that uses knowledge and inferences procedures to solve problems (Daniel Hunt, 1986). Objectives of developing expert system ➢ To enhance the performance of agricultural extension personnel and farmer ➢ To make farming more efficient and profitable ➢ To reduce the time required in solving the problems ➢ To maintain the expert system by continuously upgrading the database Advantages of expert system ➢ Solves critical problems by making logical deductions without taking much time ➢ It combines experimental and conventional knowledge with the reasoning skills of specialists ➢ To enhance the performance of average worker to the level of an expert Limitations of expert system ➢ Expensive computer program ➢ Mostly developed not in regional languages ➢ Requires AC power and internet connection all the time ➢ Complex software requires computer skilled personnel Modules of expert system in agriculture ➢ COMAX: Integrated crop management in cotton ➢ SOYEX: Soybean oil extraction expert system ➢ PLANT/ds: Diagnosis of soybean diseases ➢ MAIZE: Maize expert system for field crop management ➢ SEMAGI: Weed control decision making in sunflowers ➢ Rice Crop Doctor: Developed by National Institute of Agricultural Extension Management (MANAGE) Difference between conventional and expert system of extension Conventional Extension ➢ Universal approachability of same information is a problem ➢ Information is given whatever is available without considering needs and resources ➢ No Cost benefit analysis ➢ Information flow depends on availability of agent ➢ Require users to draw their own conclusion from facts Expert System of Extension ➢ Universal approachability of same information is possible ➢ Information is chosen based on their needs and resources ➢ Cost benefit analysis ➢ Information through Cyber Cafe at any place at any time ➢ Conclusion is drawn based on the decision given by the expert. Sports center manager / Leisure manager They conduct daily activities at sports complexes and recreational facilities with gyms, pools, and activity rooms. Individuals need a bachelor's degree in leisure and recreation, facility management, or hospitality. 3. Food truck manager They oversee the daily operations of food trucks at tourist attractions and unique event venues. They may be responsible for coordinating work schedules, obtaining food service licenses in different areas, and ordering food inventory as needed. Food truck managers need a minimum of a high school diploma but can also benefit from previous work experience. 4. Pastry chef They specialize in making various pastries and other desserts for bakeries, restaurants, and patisseries. They work closely with other kitchen staff and chefs to create dough mixtures, develop new recipes, decorate dessert items, and monitor the baking process to ensure a finished product. To become a pastry chef, individuals can either earn a high school diploma and develop their skills or attend a pastry arts program and earn an associate degree or bachelor’s degree. 5. Airport manager / Aviation manager They ensure efficient operations at an airport while ensuring that all airlines follow FAA (Federal Aviation Administration) guidelines. They hire and train airport personnel and monitor activities relating to They usually have a few years of work experience in a role at an airport, along with a bachelor's degree in airport management 6 security, customer service, and customer amenities, including onsite restaurants. and operations or aviation management. A professional certification can also be beneficial. 6. Spa manager They lead daily operations at spa facilities. Their duties include hiring and training spa employees and maintaining an up-to-date inventory of cosmetic products, sheets, towels, robes, and other items for skin treatments. Spa managers may also promote their spa by hiring freelance marketers or organizing advertisements for digital or print platforms. They also administer advanced therapies like facials and massages to customers. The education requirements include earning an associate's or bachelor's degree in hospitality or business management. Prospective spa managers also need a few years of work experience at a spa business. 7. Hotel assistant general manager They support the job duties of the hotel's general manager. They help the available manager interview job candidates, make hiring decisions, and coordinate training efforts for staff. Hotel assistant general managers may also cover shifts for general managers and act as temporary general managers when the manager is sick or on vacation. Individuals need a high school diploma and a few years of hotel experience. They may also benefit from earning an associate's degree or bachelor's degree in hospitality and tourism. 8. Tour manager They oversee tour bookers, tour guides, tour bus drivers, and marketing staff for a tour company. They schedule work shifts for tour guides, develop marketing Individuals can become tour managers by earning a high school diploma and working for a tour 7 strategies to increase tour bookings, and read tourist reviews to determine how they can improve their overall experience. They may also accompany clients when they travel and attend to their needs. company for a few years. They can also earn a bachelor's degree or master's degree in an area like hospitality and tourism management. 9. Cafe manager They oversee the daily operations of cafes in shopping centers, hotels, and other areas. They hire and train cafe staff, adjust coffee and bakery selections, handle complex customer questions, and ensure the cleanliness of their facilities. Cafe managers also create work schedules to provide enough staff during peak business hours. To become a cafe manager, individuals need a minimum of a high school diploma and previous experience working in a cafe as a barista or supervisor. 10. Activity manager They work for hotels and resorts, travel companies, and cruise liners to oversee guest activities and ensure guests have a pleasant experience. This may include planning guests' itineraries, offering guests tours of the local area, and developing fun activities within their facilities. Activity managers typically have bachelor's degrees in hospitality and tourism, event planning, or recreation. 11. Hotel sales coordinator They work for hotels and help create and manage their marketing and customer service strategies. They also work with a team of sales coordinators and hotel managers to research ways to increase bookings and retain customers. They may To become a hotel sales coordinator, individuals need a bachelor's degree in sales, marketing, hospitality, and tourism. 8 design special offers, create branding and promotional strategies, and follow up with guests after they check out. 12. Resort manager They oversee the daily activities at resort facilities. They typically monitor the resort's housekeeping activities, finances, and marketing materials. They manage different departments to assist with general maintenance and ensure a high guest satisfaction rate. To become a resort manager, individuals need experience working in the resort industry, either a bachelor's degree or master's degree in hotel management or hospitality and tourism. 13. Travel agent They work for travel agencies or as self-employed individuals to help clients book transport and hotel accommodations. Their duties may also involve creating a trip itinerary for their clients and helping them reschedule canceled flights or transfer accommodations. Prospective travel agents need a high school diploma and an interest in travel. They may also benefit from earning an associate's or bachelor's degree in hospitality and tourism management or applying for a professional travel agent certification. Travel agents often start as employees and become managers as their careers progress. 9 14. Catering manager They oversee a kitchen and server staff team for a catering company or event venue. They hire and train catering staff and work with one or more chefs to create an effective catering menu. They also design schedules for staff members, depending on the time required to set up and prepare food before an event. To become a catering manager, individuals can benefit from earning either an associate degree or a bachelor's degree in an area like hospitality or food service. 15. Entertainment manager They collaborate with resorts, cruise liners, hotels, and other accommodations to book singers, musicians, dance groups, comedians, and other entertainers to perform for guests. Their duties include holding auditions for potential talent, scheduling bookings, and negotiating with clients to determine price points. They oversee many aspects of events, including their production and financing. To become an entertainment manager, individuals can attend a four-year bachelor's degree program in hospitality, tourism management, event planning, or events and entertainment. 16. Guest services manager They assist hotel guests with their needs from when they check in to when they check out. They provide guests with room keys, organize baggage assistance, and delegate tasks to other staff like housekeepers, front desk employees, or room service personnel. They're also responsible for hiring and training the guest services staff. This position typically requires a minimum of a high school diploma and a few years of guest service experience. 10 17. Director of Housekeeping They work for a hotel, cruise line, or resort and manage its housekeeping staff. They maintain clean facilities for all guests by hiring and training housekeeping staff and monitoring inventory, including cleaning supplies, towels, bedsheets, and guest amenities. Housekeeping directors can benefit from earning a bachelor's degree in hospitality management and gaining several years of experience in the cleaning service industry. 18. Park manager They work at public and amusement parks and help develop marketing and promotional strategies to increase visitors. They may work with facilities managers to ensure the park remains clean and well-maintained. They also manage the park's budget, train managers in individual departments, and develop inclement weather or emergency policies. Prospective park managers need a bachelor's degree in leisure and recreation, management, or landscape design. 19. Food service director They work for hotels, cruises, and other accommodations to oversee food service operations for guests. Their job duties include developing a budget for food inventory and supplies, relaying information to food and beverage managers and kitchen staff, approving menu and drink ideas, and ensuring the quality of the food and dining operations. Directors at large hotels or other organizations may also To become a food service director, a bachelor's or master's degree in hospitality management, food service management, or culinary arts is necessary. 11 oversee the room service and catering from multiple restaurants. 20. Travel consultant They assist individuals, educational institutions, and corporations with their travel needs. They meet with clients to discuss their travel options to a destination and determine whether they need a passport, vaccinations, or weatherappropriate attire; they also help them find discounted hotels and airlines and arrange accommodations for clients with medical conditions and special needs. A high school diploma and a voluntary certification are typically necessary to become a travel consultant. An associate or bachelor's degree in tourism, international studies, or hospitality can also be beneficial.Owls, such as the young snowy owls on the previous page, have for centuries been symbols of both wisdom and mystery. To many cultures their piercing eyes have conveyed a look of intelligence. Their silent flight through darkened landscapes in search of prey has projected an air of power or wonder. For this chapter and this book, owls are an engaging example of a living organism from the world of biology—the study of life. BIOLOGY AND YOU Living in a small town, in the country, or at the edge of the suburbs, one may be lucky enough to hear an owl's hooting. This experience can lead to questions about where the bird lives, what it hunts, and how it finds its prey on dark, moonless nights. Biology, or the study of life, offers an organized and scientific framework for posing and answering such questions about the natural world. Biologists study questions about how living things work, how they interact with the environment, and how they change over time. Biologists study many different kinds of living things ranging from tiny organisms, such as bacteria, to very large organisms, such as elephants. Each day, biologists investigate subjects that affect you and the way you live. For example, biologists determine which foods are healthy. As shown in Figure 1-1, everyone is affected by this impor- tant topic. Biologists also study how much a person should exer- cise and how one can avoid getting sick. Biologists also study what CHARACTERISTICS OF LIFE The world is filled with familiar objects, such as tables, rocks, plants, pets, and automobiles. Which of these objects are living or were once living? What are the criteria for assigning something to the living world or the nonliving world? Biologists have established that living things share seven characteristics of life. These characteristics are organization and the presence of one or more cells, response to a stimulus (plural, stimuli), homeostasis, metabolism, growth and development, reproduction, and change through time. Organization and Cells Organization is the high degree of order within an organism’s internal and external parts and in its interactions with the living world. For example, compare an owl to a rock. The rock has a spe- cific shape, but that shape is usually irregular. Furthermore, differ- ent rocks, even rocks of the same type, are likely to have different shapes and sizes. In contrast, the owl is an amazingly organized individual, as shown in Figure 1-2. Owls of the same species have the same body parts arranged in nearly the same way and interact with the environment in the same way. Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. ORGANISM (Barn Owl) ORGAN (Owl’s Ear) TISSUE (Nervous Tissue Within the Ear) CELL (Nerve Cell) your air, land, and fAll living organisms, whether made up of one cell or many cells, have some degree of organization. A cell is the smallest unit that can perform all life’s processes. Some organisms, such as bacteria, are made up of one cell and are called unicellular (YOON-uh-SEL-yoo-luhr) organisms. Other organisms, such as humans or trees, are made up of multiple cells and are called multicellular (MUHL-ti-SEL-yoo-luhr) organisms. Complex multicellular organisms have the level of orga- nization shown in Figure 1-2. In the highest level, the organism is made up of organ systems, or groups of specialized parts that carry out a certain function in the organism. For example, an owl’s ner- vous system is made up of a brain, sense organs, nerve cells, and other parts that sense and respond to the owl’s surroundings. Organ systems are made up of organs. Organs are structures that carry out specialized jobs within an organ system. An owl’s ear is an organ that allows the owl to hear. All organs are made up of tissues. Tissues are groups of cells that have similar abilities and that allow the organ to function. For example, nervous tissue in the ear allows the ear to detect sound. Tissues are made up of cells. A cell must be covered by a membrane, contain all genetic information necessary for replication, and be able to carry out all cell functions. Within each cell are organelles. Organelles are tiny structures that carry out functions necessary for the cell to stay alive. Organelles contain biological molecules, the chemical compounds that provide physical structure and that bring about movement, energy use, and other cellular functions. All biological molecules are made up of atoms. Atoms are the simplest particle of an ele- ment that retains all the properties of a certain element. Response to Stimuli Another characteristic of life is that an organism can respond to a stimulus—a physical or chemical change in the internal or external environment. For example, an owl dilates its pupils to keep the level of light entering the eye constant. Organisms must be able to respond and react to changes in their environment to stay alive. ORGANELLE (Mitochondrion) BIOLOGICAL MOLECULE (Phospholipid) ATOM (Oxygen) cell from the Latin, cella meaning “small room,” or “hut” Word Roots and Origins www.scilinks.org Topic: Characteristics of Life Keyword: HM60257 mb06se_bios01.qxd 5/18/07 10:37 AM Page 7 8 CHAPTER 1 Homeostasis All living things, from single cells to entire organisms, have mecha- nisms that allow them to maintain stable internal conditions. Without these mechanisms, organisms can die. For example, a cell’s water content is closely controlled by the taking in or releas- ing of water. A cell that takes in too much water will rupture and die. A cell that doesn’t get enough water will also shrivel and die. Homeostasis (HOH-mee-OH-STAY-sis) is the maintenance of a stable level of internal conditions even though environmental conditions are constantly changing. Organisms have regulatory systems that maintain internal conditions, such as temperature, water content, and uptake of nutrients by the cell. In fact, multi- cellular organisms usually have more than one way of maintain- ing important aspects of their internal environment. For example, an owl’s temperature is maintained at about 40°C (104°F). To keep a constant temperature, an owl’s cells burn fuel to produce body heat. In addition, an owl’s feathers can fluff up in cold weather. In this way, they trap an insulating layer of air next to the bird’s body to maintain its body temperature. Metabolism Living organisms use energy to power all the life processes, such as repair, movement, and growth. This energy use depends on metabolism (muh-TAB-uh-LIZ-uhm). Metabolism is the sum of all the chemical reactions that take in and transform energy and materials from the environment. For example, plants, algae, and some bacteria use the sun’s energy to generate sugar molecules during a process called photosynthesis. Some organisms depend on obtaining food energy from other organisms. For instance, an owl’s metabolism allows the owl to extract and modify the chemi- cals trapped in its nightly prey and use them as energy to fuel activities and growth. Growth and Development All living things grow and increase in size. Some nonliving things, such as crystals or icicles, grow by accumulating more of the same material of which they are made. In contrast, the growth of living things results from the division and enlargement of cells. Cell division is the formation of two new cells from an existing cell, as shown in Figure 1-3. In unicellular organisms, the primary change that occurs following cell division is cell enlargement. In multi- cellular life, however, organisms mature through cell division, cell enlargement, and development. Development is the process by which an organism becomes a mature adult. Development involves cell division and cell differen- tiation, or specialization. As a result of development, an adult organism is composed of many cells specialized for different func- tions, such as carrying oxygen in the blood or hearing. In fact, the human body is composed of trillions of specialized cells, all of which originated from a single cell, the fertilized egg. This unicellular organism, Escherichia coli, inhabits the human intestines. E. coli reproduces by means of cell division, during which the original cell splits into two identical offspring cells. FIGURE 1-3 Observing Homeostasis Materials 500 mL beakers (3), wax pen, tap water, thermometer, ice, hot water, goldfish, small dip net, watch or clock with a second hand Procedure 1. Use a wax pen to label three 500 mL beakers as follows: 27°C (80°F), 20°C (68°F), 10°C (50°F). Put 250 mL of tap water in each beaker. Use hot water or ice to adjust the tem- perature of the water in each beaker to match the temperature on the label. 2. Put the goldfish in the beaker of 27°C water. Record the number of times the gills move in 1 minute. 3. Move the goldfish to the beaker of 20°C water. Repeat observations. Move the goldfish to the beaker of 10°C. Repeat observations. Analysis What happens to the rate at which gills move when the temp- erature changes? Why? How do gills help fish maintain homeostasis? Quick Lab mb06se_bios01.qxd 5/18/07 10:37 AM Page 8 THE SCIENCE OF LIFE 9 Reproduction All organisms produce new organisms like themselves in a process called reproduction. Reproduction, unlike other characteristics, is not essential to the survival of an individual organism. However, because no organism lives forever, reproduction is essential for the continuation of a species. Glass frogs, as shown in Figure 1-4, lay many eggs in their lifetime. However, only a few of the frogs’ off- spring reach adulthood and successfully reproduce. During reproduction, organisms transmit hereditary informa- tion to their offspring. Hereditary information is encoded in a large molecule called deoxyribonucleic acid, or DNA. A short segment of DNA that contains the instructions for a single trait of an organism is called a gene. DNA is like a large library. It contains all the books—genes—that the cell will ever need for making all the struc- tures and chemicals necessary for life. Hereditary information is transferred to offspring during two kinds of reproduction. In sexual reproduction, hereditary information recombines from two organisms of the same species. The resulting offspring are similar but not identical to their parents. For example, a male frog’s sperm can fertilize a female’s egg and form a single fer- tilized egg cell. The fertilized egg then develops into a new frog. In asexual reproduction, hereditary information from different organisms is not combined; thus the original organism and the new organism are genetically the same. A bacterium, for example, reproduces asexually when it splits into two identical cells. Change Through Time Although individual organisms experience many changes during their lifetime, their basic genetic characteristics do not change. However, populations of living organisms evolve or change through time. The ability of populations of organisms to change over time is important for survival in a changing world. This factor is also impor- tant in explaining the diversity of life-forms we see on Earth today. 1. How does biology affect a person’s daily life? 2. How does biology affect society? 3. Name the characteristics shared by living things. 4. Summarize the hierarchy of organization found in complex multicellular organisms. 5. What are the different functions of homeostasis and metabolism in living organisms? 6. How does the growth among living and nonliv- ing things differ? 7. Why is reproduction an important characteristic of life? CRITICAL THINKING 8. Applying Information Crystals of salt grow and are highly organized. Why don’t biologists con- sider them to be alive? 9. Analyzing Models When a scientist designs a space probe to detect life on a distant planet, what kinds of things should it measure? 10. Making Comparisons Both cells and organisms share the characteristics of life. How are cells and organismsood supply will be like in the near future.EVOLUTION OF LIFE Individual organisms change during their lifetime, but their basic genetic characteristics do not change. However, populations of liv- ing organisms do change through time, or evolve. Evolution, or descent with modification, is the process in which the inherited characteristics within populations change over generations, such that genetically distinct populations and new species can develop. Evolution as a theme in biology helps us understand how the various branches of the “tree of life” came into existence and have changed over time. It also explains how organisms alive today are related to those that lived in the past. Finally, it helps us understand the mechanisms that underlie the way organisms look and behave. Natural Selection The ability of populations of organisms to change over time is important for survival in a changing world. According to the theory of evolution by natural selection, organisms that have certain favorable traits are better able to survive and reproduce success- fully than organisms that lack these traits. One product of natural selection is the adaptation of organisms to their environment. Adaptations are traits that improve an indi- vidual’s ability to survive and reproduce. For example, rabbits with white fur and short ears in a snowy place, such as the one in Figure 1-7a, may avoid predators and frostbitten ears more often than those with dark fur and long ears. Thus, the next generation of rabbits will have a greater percentage of animals carrying the genes for white fur and short ears. In contrast, the brown, long- eared rabbit, as shown in Figure 1-7b, would survive and reproduce more successfully in a hot desert environment. The survival and reproductive success of organisms with favor- able traits cause a change in populations of organisms over gener- ations. This descent with modification is an important factor in explaining the diversity of organisms we see on Earth today. 1. Name three unifying themes found in biology. 2. How is the unity and diversity in the living world represented? 3. Identify the three domains and the kingdoms found in each domain. 4. How are organisms interdependent? 5. Describe why evolution is important in explain- ing the diversity of life. 6. Distinguish between evolution and natural selection. CRITICAL THINKING 7. Applying Information Assign the various top- pings you put on pizza to the appropriate domains and kingdoms of life. 8. Analyzing Graphics According to the “tree” in Figure 1-5, which of these pairs are more closely related: Archaea:Bacteria or Archaea:Eukarya? 9. Making Hypotheses Fossil evidence shows that bats descended from shrewlike organisms that could not fly. Write a hypothesis for how natural selection might have led to flying bats. SECTION 2 REVIEW (a) This short-eared arctic hare, Lepus arcticus, is hidden from predators and protected from frostbite in a snowy environment. (b) The mottled brown coats of desert rabbits blend in with the dirt and dry grasses, and their long ears help them radiate excess heat and thus avoid overheating. FIGURE 1-7 (a) (b) Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. THE SCIENCE OF LIFE 13 TH E STUDY OF BIOLOGY Curiosity leads us to ask questions about life. Science provides a way of answering such questions about the natural world. Science is a systematic method that involves forming and testing hypotheses. More importantly, science relies on evidence, not beliefs, for drawing conclusions. SCIENCE AS A PROCESS Science is characterized by an organized approach, called the scientific method, to learn how the natural world works. The methods of science are based on two important principles. The first principle is that events in the natural world have natural causes. For example, the ancient Greeks believed that lightning and thunder occurred because a supernatural god Zeus hurled thunderbolts from the heavens. By contrast, a scientist considers lightning and thunder to result from electric charges in the atmos- phere. When trying to solve a puzzle from nature, all scientists, such as the one in Figure 1-8, accept that there is a natural cause to solve that puzzle. A second principle of science is uniformity. Uniformity is the idea that the fundamental laws of nature operate the same way at all places and at all times. For example, scientists assume that the law of gravity works the same way on Mars as it does on Earth. Steps of the Scientific Method Although there is no single method for doing science, scientific studies involve a series of common steps. 1. The process of science begins with an observation. An observation is the act of perceiving a natural occurrence that causes someone to pose a question. 2. One tries to answer the question by forming hypotheses (singular, hypothesis). A hypothesis is a proposed explanation for the way a particular aspect of the natural world functions. 3. A prediction is a statement that forecasts what would happen in a test situation if the hypothesis were true. A prediction is recorded for each hypothesis. 4. An experiment is used to test a hypothesis and its predictions. 5. Once the experiment has been concluded, the data are analyzed and used to draw conclusions. 6. After the data have been analyzed, the data and conclusions are communicated to scientific peers and to the public. This way oth- ers can verify, reject, or modify the researcher’s conclusions. SECTION 3 OBJECTIVES ● Outline the main steps in the scientific method. ● Summarize how observations are used to form hypotheses. ● List the elements of a controlled experiment. ● Describe how scientists use data to draw conclusions. ● Compare a scientific hypothesis and a scientific theory. ● State how communication in science helps prevent dishonesty and bias. VOCABULARY scientific method observation hypothesis prediction experiment control group experimental group independent variable dependent variable theory peer review All researchers, such as the one releasing an owl above, use the scientific method to answer the questions they have about nature. FIGURE 1-8 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. 14 CHAPTER 1 OBSERVING AND ASKING QUESTIONS The scientific method generally begins with an unexplained observa- tion about nature. For example, people have noticed for thousands of years that owls can catch prey in near total darkness. As shown in steps and of Figure 1-9, an observation may then raise ques- tions. The owl observation raises the question: How does an owl detect prey in the dark? FORMING A HYPOTHESIS After stating a question, a biologist lists possible answers to a sci- entific question—hypotheses. Good hypotheses answer a question and are testable in the natural world. For example, as shown in step Figure 1-9, there are several possible hypotheses for the question of how owls hunt at night: (a) owls hunt by keen vision in the dark; (b) owls hunt by superb hearing; or (c) owls hunt by detecting the prey’s body heat. Predicting To test a hypothesis, scientists make a prediction that logically fol- lows from the hypothesis. A prediction is what is expected to hap- pen if each hypothesis were true. For example, if hypothesis (a) is true, (owls hunt by keen night vision) then one can predict that the owl will pounce only on the mouse in either a light or a dark room. If hypothesis (b) is true (owls hunt by hearing), then one can pre- dict that in a lighted room, the owl will pounce closer to the mouse’s head. But, in a dark room, the owl should pounce closer to a rustling leaf attached to the mouse. Finally, if hypothesis (c) is true (owls hunt by sensing body heat), then an owl would strike only the prey no matter the room conditions, because owls hunt by detecting the prey’s body heat. 3 1 2 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. A scientific study includes observations, questions, hypotheses, predictions, experiments, data analysis, and conclu- sions. A biologist can use the scientific method to set up an experiment to learn how an owl captures prey at night. FIGURE 1-9 1 OBSERVATION Owls capture prey on dark nights. 2 QUESTION How do owls detect prey on dark nights? 3 HYPOTHESES a) Owls hunt in the dark by vision. b) Owls hunt in the dark by hearing. c) Owls hunt in the dark by sensing body heat. THE SCIENCE OF LIFE 15 Notice that these predictions make it difficult to distinguish be- tween the vision and body heat hypotheses. The reason is that both hypotheses predict that the owl could grab the mouse in a dark room. Also, these three hypotheses do not eliminate all other factors that could influence how the owl finds its prey. However, testing predictions can allow one to begin rejecting hypotheses and thus to get closer to determining the answer(s) to a question. DESIGNING AN EXPERIMENT Biologists often test hypotheses by setting up an experiment. Step in Figure 1-9 outlines an experiment to test the hypotheses about how an owl hunts at night. First, experimenters set up a room with an owl perch high on one side and a small trap door on the other side for releasing mice. Then, they tied a leaf to each mouse’s tail with a string and released each mouse into the room. Next, each mouse ran silently across the room, but the leaf trailed behind, making a rustling noise. During half of the trials, the lights were on. During the other half, the room was dark. Technicians videotaped all the action in the chamber with an infrared light, which owls cannot see. The researchers then viewed the videos and measured the position of the owl’s strike relative to each mouse’s head. Performing the Experiment Many scientists use a controlled experiment to test their hypotheses. A controlled experiment compares an experimental group and a control group and only has one variable. The control group pro- vides a normal standard against which the biologist can compare results of the experimental group. The experimental group is iden- tical to the control group except for one factor, the independent variable. The experimenter manipulates the independent variable, sometimes called the manipulated variable. 4 4 EXPERIMENT 5 DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS Measure and compare the distance from the owl’s strike to the mouse and to the leaf in light and dark. 6 CONCLUSION Data supported the hearing hypothesis: Owls hunt in the dark by hearing. prey Test predictions of the three hypotheses. Control: In the light Experimental: In the dark 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Predicting Results Materials 2 Petri dishes with agar, cellophane tape, wax pen Procedure 1. Open one of the Petri dishes, and streak your finger across the surface of the agar. 2. Replace the lid, and seal it with the tape. Label this Petri dish with your name and a number 1. 3. Seal the second Petri dish with- out removing the lid. Label this Petri dish with your name and the number 2. 4. Write a prediction about what will happen in each dish. Store your dishes as your teacher directs. Record your observations. Follow your teacher’s directions for disposal of your dishes. Analysis Was your prediction accurate? What evidence can you cite to support your prediction? If you did not obtain the results you predicted, would you change your testing method or your prediction? Explain. Evaluate the importance of obtaining a result that does not support your prediction. Quick Lab mb06se_bios03.qxd 5/18/07 10:40 AM Page 15 16 CHAPTER 1 The independent variable in the owl experiment is the presence or absence of light. In the owl experiment, the control group hunts in the light, and the experimental group hunts in the dark. In addi- tion to varying the independent variable, a scientist observes or measures another factor called the dependent variable, or respond- ing variable, because it is affected by the independent variable. In the owl experiment, the dependent variable is distance from the owl’s strike to the mouse’s head. Testing the Experiment Some controlled experiments are conducted “blind.” In other words, the biologist who scores the results is unaware of whether a given subject is part of the experimental or control group. This factor helps eliminate experimenter bias. Experiments should also be repeated, because living systems are variable. Moreover, scien- tists must collect enough data to find meaningful results. COLLECTING AND ANALYZING DATA Most experiments measure a variable—the dependent variable. This measurement provides quantitative data, data measured in numbers. For example, in the experiment above, scientists mea- sured the distance of an owl’s strike from the prey’s head in cen- timeters, as shown in step of Figure 1-9. An event’s duration in milliseconds is also an example of quantitative data. Biologists usually score the results of an experiment by using one of their senses. They might see or hear the results of an experiment. Scientists also extend their senses with a micro- scope for tiny objects or a microphone for soft sounds. In the owl experiment, biologists extended their vision with infrared cameras. Analyzing and Comparing Data After collecting data from a field study or an experiment and then organizing it, biologists then analyze the data. In analyzing data, the goal is to determine whether the data are reliable, and whether they support or fail to support the predictions of the hypothesis. To do so, scientists may use statistics to help determine relation- ships between the variables involved. They can then compare their data with other data that were obtained in other similar studies. It is also important at this time to determine possible sources of error in the experiment just per- formed. Scientists usually display their data in tables or graphs when analyzing it. For the owl study, biologists could have made a bar graph such as the one in Figure 1-10, which shows the average distance from the owl’s strike relative to the mouse’s head or the leaf in the light and in the dark. 5 5 0 10 15 20 25 In the light In the dark Average distance from strike (cm) Distance Between Owl Strike and a Mouse or From a Leaf Attached to Mouse 30 Mouse Leaf Mouse Leaf The data below are hypothetical results that might occur from the described owl experiment.The independent variable is the darkness of the room, and the dependent variable is how far the owl struck from the mouse’s head.The data show that the owl strikes more accurately at the mouse in the light but strikes more accurately at the leaf in the dark. FIGURE 1-10 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. THE SCIENCE OF LIFE 17 DRAWING CONCLUSIONS Biologists analyze their tables, graphs, and charts to draw conclu- sions about whether or not a hypothesis is supported, as shown in step of Figure 1-9. The hypothetical owl data show that in the light, owls struck with greater accuracy at the mouse than at the leaf, but in the dark, owls struck with greater accuracy at the leaf than the mouse. Thus, the findings support the hearing hypothe- sis, but not the vision hypothesis. An experiment can only disprove, not prove, a hypothesis. For example, one cannot conclude from the results that the hearing hypothesis is proven to be true. Perhaps the owl uses an unknown smell to strike at the mouse. One can only reject the vision hypothe- sis because it did not predict the results of the experiment correctly. Acceptance of a hypothesis is always tentative in science. The scientific community revises its understanding of phenomena, based on new data. Having ruled out one hypothesis, a biologist will devise more tests to try to rule out any remaining hypotheses. Making Inferences Scientists often draw inferences from data gathered during a field study or experiment. An inference (IN-fuhr-uhns) is a conclusion made on the basis of facts and previous knowledge rather than on direct observations. Unlike a hypothesis, an inference is not directly testable. In the owl study, it is inferred that the owl detects prey from a distance rather than by direct touch. Applying Results and Building Models As shown in Figure 1-11, scientists often apply their findings to solve practical problems. They also build models to represent or describe things. For example in 1953, James Watson and Francis Crick used cardboard balls and wire bars to build physical models of atoms in an attempt to understand the structure of DNA. Mathematical models are sets of equations that describe how dif- ferent measurable items interact in a system. The experimenter can adjust variables to better model the real-world data. CONSTRUCTING A THEORY When a set of related hypotheses is confirmed to be true many times, and it can explain a great amount of data, scientists often reclassify it as a theory. Some examples include the quantum the- ory, the cell theory, or the theory of evolution. People commonly use the word “theory” in a different way than scientists use the word. People may say “It’s just a theory” suggesting that an idea is untested, but scientists view a theory as a highly tested, generally accepted principle that explains a vast number of observations and experimental data. 6 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. Biologists often apply their knowledge of the natural world to practical problems. Studies on the owl’s keen ability to locate sounds in space despite background noise are helping biotechnologists and bioengineers develop better solutions for people with impaired hearing, such as the people shown in this picture. FIGURE 1-11 18 CHAPTER 1 COMMUNICATING IDEAS An essential aspect of scientific research is scientists working together. Scientists often work together in research teams or sim- ply share research results with other scientists. This is done by publishing findings in scientific journals or presenting them at sci- entific meetings, as shown in Figure 1-12. Sharing information allows others working independently to verify findings or to con- tinue work on established results. For example, Roger Payne pub- lished the results of his owl experiments in a journal in 1971. Then, other biologists could repeat it for verification or use it to study the mechanisms introduced by the paper. With the growing impor- tance of science in solving societal issues, it is becoming increas- ingly vital for scientists to be able to communicate with the public at large. Publishing a Paper Scientists submit research papers to scientific journals for publica- tion. A typical research paper has four sections. First, the Introduction poses the problem and hypotheses to be investigated. Next, the Materials and Methods describe how researchers proceeded with the experiment. Third, the Results state the findings the experiment presented, and finally, the Discussion gives the significance of the experiment and future directions the scientists will take. Job Description Forensic biolo- gists are scientists who study biological materials to investigate potential crimes and other legal issues against humans and animals. Forensic scientists have knowledge in areas of biology, such as DNA and blood pattern analysis, and work in private sector and public laboratories. Focus On a Forensic Biologist As a law enforcement forensic specialist for the Texas Parks and Wildlife Department, Beverly Villarreal assists the game warden in investigations of fish and wildlife violations, such as illegal hunting and fishing. Villarreal analyzes blood and tissue samples to identify species of animals such as fish, birds, and reptiles. Her work helps game wardens as they enforce state laws regarding hunting and fishing. Most people think of forensic scientists as the glamorous crime investigators on TV, but according to Villarreal real forensic scientists “spend a great deal of time at a lab bench running analysis after analysis.” Many of the methods used in animal forensics, such as DNA sequenc- ing, are also used in human forensics. Education and Skills • High school—three years of science courses and four years of math courses. • College—bachelor of science in biol- ogy, including course work in zoology and genetics, plus experience in per- forming DNA analyses. • Skills—patience, attention to detail, and ability to use fine tools. Careers in BIOLOGY Forensic Biologist For more about careers, visit go.hrw.com and type in the keyword HM6 Careers. www.scilinks.org Topic: Scientific Investigations Keyword: HM61358 mb06se_bios03.qxd 5/18/07 10:40 AM Page 18 THE SCIENCE OF LIFE 19 1. What two principles make the scientific method a unique process? 2. Define the roles of observations and hypotheses in science. 3. Summarize the parts of a controlled experiment. 4. Summarize how we make conclusions about the results of an experiment. 5. Why is the phrase, “it’s just a theory” misleading? 6. Give another example of a conflict of interest. CRITICAL THINKING 7. Making Hypotheses On a nocturnal owl’s skull, one ear points up, and the other ear points down. Suggest a hypothesis for this observation. 8. Designing Experiments Design an experiment to establish if owls hunt by keen sight or hunt by heat seeking. 9. Calculating Information What was the average distance between the owl’s strike and the mouse if the recorded differences in this experiment were 25, 22, 19, 19, and 15? SECTION 3 REVIEW After scientists submit their papers to a scientific journal, the editors of that journal will send the paper out for peer review. In a peer review, scientists who are experts in the field anonymously read and critique that research paper. They determine if a paper pro- vides enough information so that the experiment can be duplicated and if the author used good experimental controls and reached an accurate conclusion. They also check if the paper is written clearly enough for broad understanding. Careful analysis of each other’s research by fellow scientists is essential to making scientific progress and preventing scientific dishonesty. HONESTY AND BIAS The scientific community depends on both honesty and good sci- ence. While designing new studies, experimenters must be very careful to prevent previous ideas and biases from tainting both the experimental process and the conclusions. Scientists have to keep in mind that they are always trying to disprove their favorite ideas. Scientists repeat experiments to verify previous findings. This allows for science to have a method for self-correction and it also keeps researchers honest and credible to their peers in the field. Conflict of Interest For most scientists, maintaining a good reputation for collecting and presenting valid data is more important than temporary prestige or income. So, scientists try to avoid any potential conflicts of interest. For example, a scientist who owns a biotechnology company and manufactures a drug would not be the best researcher to critically test that drug’s safety and effectiveness. To avoid this potential con- flict of interest, the scientist allows an unaffected party, such as a research group, to test the drug’s effectiveness. The threat of a potential scandal based on misleading data or conclusions is a pow- erful force in science that helps keep scientists honest and fair. Scientists present their experiments in various forms. The scientists above are presenting their work in the form of a poster at a scientific meeting. FIGURE 1-12 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. The Internet can provide a wealth of scientific information for a report, but the information may not always be credible or accurate. You can use the methods above to check the accuracy and credibility of your sources. SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY SOCIETY SCIENCE ON THE INTERNET: A New Information Age I n the past, students research- ing a science topic would typ- ically begin their research by visiting a library to use printed reference materials, such as encyclopedias. Today, most stu- dents research topics by using a computer and searching for information on the Internet. The Internet can provide students with a wealth of infor- mation. But which Web sites have accurate information, and which Web sites do not? Checking Web Addresses Students should use the Web address, or URL, to establish the Web site’s credibility. Usually, the domain name can suggest who has published the Web site. Web sites can be pub- lished by governmental agen- cies (ends in “dot gov” or .gov), by educational institutions (ends in “dot edu” or .edu), by organizations (ends in “dot org” or .org), or by commercial businesses (ends in “dot com” or .com). Government Web sites are usually reliable. Examples of credible governmental Web sites are the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). University and medical school sites are also reliable sources of information. Many organiza- tions that research and teach the public about specific diseases and conditions can also provide reliable information. Examples of such organizations are the American Cancer Society and the American Heart Association. Evaluating Web Sites The credibility of the author of the Web site should also be checked. Make sure the author is not trying to sell anything and is established in his or her field. For example, a health Web site’s author should be a med- ical professional. It is also important to check the date that the information was posted on the Web to ensure that the information is current. Also, the Web site should provide ref- erences from valid sources, such as scientific journals or govern- ment publications. Finally, the student should always double-check informa- tion between several reliable Web sites. If two or three reliable sites provide the same informa- tion, the student can feel confi- dent in using that information. Web Sites for Students The Internet Connect boxes in this textbook have all been reviewed by professionals at the National Science Teachers Association (NSTA). Students can trust that these sites are reliable sources for science- or health-related topics. REVIEW 1. Which types of Web addresses are the most reliable? 2. List four important features to evaluate when using a Web site for research. 3. Supporting Reasoned Opinions Why do you think a Web site that is advertising a product may not offer accurate information? REVIEW 20 www.scilinks.org Topic: Using the Internet Keyword: HM61589 mb06se_biosts.qxd 5/18/07 10:42 AM Page 20 TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES With proper equipment and good methods, biologists can see, manipulate, and understand the natural world in new ways. Microscopes are one of many useful tools used to unlock nature’s biological secrets. MICROSCOPES AS TOOLS Tools are objects used to improve the performance of a task. Microscopes are tools that extend human vision by making enlarged images of objects. Biologists use microscopes to study organisms, cells, cell parts, and molecules. Microscopes reveal details that otherwise might be difficult or impossible to see. Light Microscopes To see small organisms and cells, biologists typically use a light microscope, such as the one shown in Figure 1-13. A compound light microscope is a microscope that shines light through a spec- imen and has two lenses to magnify an image. To use this micro- scope, one first mounts the specimen to be viewed on a glass slide. The specimen must be thin enough for light to pass through it. For tiny pond organisms, such as the single-celled paramecium, light passing through the organism is not a problem. For thick objects, such as plant stems, biologists must cut thin slices for viewing. There are four major parts of a compound light microscope. For further description of the parts of a micro- scope, see the Appendix. 1. Eyepiece The eyepiece (ocular (AHK-yoo-luhr) lens) magnifies the image, usually 10 times. 2. Objective Lens Light passes through the specimen and then through the objective lens, which is located directly above the specimen. The objective lens enlarges the image of the specimen. Scientists sometimes use stains to make the image easier to see. 3. Stage The stage is a platform that supports a slide holding the specimen. The slide is placed over the opening in the stage of the microscope. 4. Light Source The light source is a light bulb that provides light for viewing the image. It can be either light reflected with a mirror or an incandescent light from a small lamp. SECTION 4 OBJECTIVES ● List the function of each of the major parts of a compound light microscope. ● Compare two kinds of electron microscopes. ● Describe the importance of having the SI system of measurement. ● State some examples of good laboratory practice. VOCABULARY compound light microscope eyepiece (ocular lens) objective lens stage light source magnification nosepiece resolution scanning electron microscope transmission electron microscope metric system base unit Compound light microscopes open the human eye to an interesting world including tiny pond organisms, healthy and diseased cells, and the functioning of cell parts. FIGURE 1-13 Objective lens Eyepiece (ocular lens) Stage Light THE SCIENCE OF LIFE 21 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. 22 CHAPTER 1 Magnification and Resolution Microscopes vary in powers of magnification and resolution. Magnification is the increase of an object’s apparent size. Revolving the nosepiece, the structure that holds the set of objective lens, rotates these lenses into place above the specimen. In a typical com- pound light microscope, the most powerful objective lens produces an image up to 100 times (100) the specimen’s actual size. The degree of enlargement is called the power of magnification of the lens. The standard ocular lens magnifies a specimen 10 times (10). To compute the power of magnification of a microscope, the power of magnification of the strongest objective lens (in this case, 100) is multiplied by the power of magnification of the ocular lens (10). The result is a total power of magnification of 1000. Resolution (REZ-uh-LOO-shuhn) is the power to show details clearly in an image. The physical properties of light limit the ability of light microscopes to resolve images, as shown in Figure 1-14a. At pow- ers of magnification beyond about 2,000, the image of the speci- men becomes fuzzy. For this reason, scientists use other microscopes to view very small cellsCreate a vocabulary quiz for 10th grade EFL students at CEFR B1 level. For example: adequate means: 1. sufficient 2. more and more 3. not enough. Use all the vocabulary below and provide accompanying definitions per the example to create this vocabulary quiz. The vocabulary quiz must contain at least 226 questions including the following vocabulary: addition advance advanced advertising among other things analysis appear approach as at least average be responsible for something be responsible for doing something before besides can challenge chance change characteristic claim come after come first come last common complicated concern conditions conduct consequence considerable cope critic current decrease delayed deliberately demonstrate design destruction development disagreement disaster discovery dislike do doubt drop educate efficient emphasis enjoyable essay essentially even if even though event exactly except that exist extraordinary feature feedback figure financial finding findings flexible flood flu focus on somebody or something focus frequent fresh frighten from gain generate guidance hopefully ideal illness illustrate image in terms of something in actual fact in connection with something in that case in the meantime initial instruction intelligence interest introduce invest investigate just about just about keep on doing something kind of knowledge lack landscape likely limited little look at something low material mean means measure mention miss misunderstand more or less must naturally nature necessarily nevertheless not at all not only notice objective occasional official on the one hand on the other hand once others otherwise out of date participate particular past perform personality personally planet planning plant point of view policy pollution popular population prevent priority private probable produce profession professor proof proposed protest provided (that) psychology public purpose quality question question questionnaire react reasonable recommend recycle regard region regular relevant reliable rely on/upon sb/sth request research result review revise risk run out of rural salary sample seldom sense set up sth or set sth up significant skilled slight specialist specific still structure study supposed surface take advantage of sth thanks to somebody or something theory throw away throw out something throw something away throw out transport trash treatment unfortunately unhealthy unique united universe unknown unlike unlikely urban vary view visible vision volume whom wildlife within worthwhile would additional analyze analyst appearance on average change characterize complicate concerned concerning concerned with something consequently cope with something criticize criticism currently deliberate demonstration designer developing developed educated educator efficiency efficiently emphasize enjoyment existence existing figure out something finance flexibility frequency hopeful illustration initially intelligent interested in something investor investment investigation investigator limitation meaning occasionally old-fashioned participant participation particularly performance planned pollute prevention producer professional psychological psychologist publicly reaction reasonably recommendation regardless regarding regional relevance researcher resulting revision sensible set out something set something out significantly significance skillful slightly specialize specifically specify theoretical transportation unfortunate unity unite universal variation viewerA BAD CASE OF THE STRIPES By David Shannon Parts(18): Camilla Narrator 1 Narrator 2 Narrator 3 Narrator 4 Mr. Harms Mother Father Dr. Bumble Old Woman Environmental Therapist Dr. Grop Dr. Gourd Dr. Sponge Mr. Mellon Dr. Cricket Dr. Young <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Narrator 1: A BAD CASE OF THE STRIPES By David Shannon Narrator 2: Camilla Cream loved lima beans. But she never ate them. Narrator 3: All of her friends hated lima beans, and she wanted to fit in. Camilla always worried about what other people thought of her. Narrator 4: Today she was fretting even more than usual. It was the very first day of school, and she couldn't decide what to wear. There were so many people to impress! Narrator 1: She tried on forty-two outfits, but none seemed quite right. She put on a pretty red dress and looked in the mirror. Then she screamed. Narrator 2: Her mother ran into the room, and she screamed, too. Mother: "Oh my heavens! You're completely covered with stripes!" Narrator 3: she cried. This was certainly true. Camilla was striped from head to toe. She looked like a rainbow. Narrator 4: Mrs. Cream felt Camilla's forehead. Mother: "Do you feel all right?" Narrator 1: she asked. Camilla: "I feel fine, but just look at me!" Narrator 2: Camilla answered. Mother: "You get back in bed this instant. You're not going to school today." Narrator 3: her mother ordered. Camilla was relieved. She didn't want to miss the first day of school, but she was afraid of what the other kids would say. And she had no idea what to wear with those crazy stripes. Narrator 4: That afternoon, Dr. Bumble came to examine Camilla. Dr. Bumble: "Most extraordinary! I've never seen anything like it! Are you having any coughing, sneezing, runny nose, aches, pains, chills, hot flashes, dizziness, drowsiness, shortness of breath, or uncontrollable twitching?" Narrator 1: he asked. Camilla: "No, I feel fine." Narrator 2: Camilla told him. Dr. Bumble: "Well then, I don't see any reason why she shouldn't go to school tomorrow. Here's some ointment that should help clear up those stripes in a few days. If it doesn't, you know where to reach me." Narrator 3: Dr. Bumble said, turning to Mrs. Cream. And off he went. Narrator 4: The next day was a disaster. Everyone at school laughed at Camilla. They called her "Camilla Crayon" and "Night of the Living Lollipop." Narrator 1: She tried her best to act as if everything were normal, but when the class said the Pledge of Allegiance, her stripes turned red, white, and blue, and she broke out in stars! Narrator 2: The other kids thought this was great. One yelled out, Narrator 3: "Let's see some purple polka dots!" Narrator 4: Sure enough, Camilla turned all purple polka-dotty. Someone else shouted, Narrator 1: "Checkerboard!" Narrator 4: and a pattern of squares covered her skin. Soon everyone was calling out different shapes and colors, and poor Camilla was changing faster than you can change channels on a T.V. Narrator 2: That night, Mr. Harms, the school principal, called. Mr. Harms: "I'm sorry, Mrs. Cream, I'm going to have to ask you to keep Camilla home from school. She's just too much of a distraction, and I've been getting phone calls from the other parents. They're afraid those stripes may be contagious." Narrator 3: he said. Camilla was so embarrassed. She couldn't believe that two days ago everyone liked her. Now, nobody wanted to be in the same room with her. Narrator 1: Her father tried to make her feel better. Father: "Is there anything I can get you, sweetheart?" Narrator 2: he asked. Camilla: "No, thank you," Narrator 3: sighed Camilla. What she really wanted was a nice plate of lima beans, but she had been laughed at enough for one day. Dr. Bumble: "Hmm, well, yes, I see. I think I'd better bring in the Specialists. We'll be right over.” Narrator 4: said Dr. Bumble to Mr. Cream on the phone. About an hour later, Dr. Bumble arrived with four people in long white coats. He introduced them to the Creams. Dr. Bumble: "This is Dr. Grop, Dr. Sponge, Dr. Cricket, and Dr. Young." Narrator 1: Then the Specialists went to work on Camilla. They squeezed and jabbed, tapped and tested. It was very uncomfortable. Dr. Grop: "Well, it's not the mumps." Dr. Sponge: "Or the measles." Dr. Cricket:"Definitely not chicken pox." Dr. Young: "Or sunburn." Narrator 2: replied the Specialists. Specialists:"Try these. Take one of each before bed." Narrator 4: said the specialists. They each handed her a bottle filled with different colored pills. Then they filed out the front door followed by Dr. Bumble. Narrator 1: That night, Camilla took her medicine. It was awful. Narrator 2: When she woke up the next morning, she did feel different, but when she got dressed, her clothes didn't fit right. She looked in the mirror, and there, staring back at her, was a giant, multi-colored pill with a face on it. Narrator 3: Dr. Bumble rushed over as soon as Mrs. Cream called. But this time, instead of the Specialists, he brought the Experts. Narrator 4: Dr. Gourd and Mr. Mellon were the finest scientific minds in the land. Once again, Camilla was poked and prodded, looked at and listened to. Narrator 1: The Experts wrote down lots of numbers. Then they huddled together and whispered. Dr. Gourd finally spoke. Dr. Gourd: "It might be a virus," Narrator 2: he announced with authority. Suddenly, fuzzy little virus balls appeared all over Camilla. Mr. Mellon: "Or possibly some form of bacteria," Narrator 3: said Mr. Mellon. Out popped squiggly little bacteria tails. Dr. Gourd: "Or it could be a fungus," Narrator 4: added Dr. Gourd. Instantly, Camilla was covered with different colored fungus blotches. The experts looked at Camilla, then each other. Experts: "We need to go over these numbers again back at the lab. We’ll call you when we know something," Narrator 1: said the Experts. But the Experts didn't have a clue, much less a cure. Narrator 2: By now, the T.V. news had found out about Camilla. Reporters from every channel were outside her house, telling the story of "The Bizarre Case of the Incredible Changing Kid." Narrator 3: Soon a huge crowd was camped out on the front lawn. Narrator 4: The Creams were swamped with all kinds of remedies from psychologists, allergists, herbalists, nutritionists, psychics, an old medicine man, a guru, and even a veterinarian. Narrator 1: Each so-called cure only added to poor Camilla's strange appearance until it was hard to even recognize her. She sprouted roots and berries and crystals and feathers and a long furry tail. But nothing worked. Narrator 2: One day, a woman who called herself an Environmental Therapist claimed she could cure Camilla. She said, Environmental Therapist: "Close your eyes, breathe deeply, and become one with your room." Camilla: "I wish you hadn't said that," Narrator 3: Camilla groaned. Slowly, she started to melt into the walls of her room. Her bed became her mouth, her nose was a dresser, and two paintings were her eyes. The therapist screamed and ran from the house. Mother: "What are we going to do? It just keeps getting worse and worse!" Narrator 4: cried Mrs. Cream. She began to sob. Narrator 1: At that moment, Mr. Cream heard a quiet little knock at the front door. He opened it, and there stood an old woman who was just as plump and sweet as a strawberry. Old Woman: "Excuse me, but I think I can help." Narrator 2: she said brightly. Narrator 3: She went into Camilla's room and looked around. Old Woman: "My goodness, what we have here is a bad case of the stripes. One of the worst I've ever seen!" Narrator 4: she said with a shake of her head. She pulled a container of small green beans from her bag. She said, Old Woman: "Here. These might do the trick." Mother: "Are those magic beans?" Narrator 1: asked Mrs. Cream. The old woman replied, Old Woman: "Oh my, no, there's no such thing. These are just plain old lima beans. I'll bet you'd like some, wouldn't you?" Narrator 2: she asked Camilla. Camilla wanted a big, heaping plateful of lima beans more than just about anything, but she was still afraid to admit it. She said, Camilla: "Yuck! No one likes lima beans, especially me!" Old Woman: "Oh, dear, I guess I was wrong about you." Narrator 3: said the old woman sadly. She put the beans back in her bag and started toward the door. Narrator 4: Camilla watched the old woman walk away. Those beans would taste so good. And being laughed at for eating them was nothing, compared to what she'd been going through. She finally couldn't stand it. Camilla: "Wait! The truth is...I really love lima beans." Narrator 1: she cried. The old woman smiled, popping a handful of beans into Camilla's mouth, and said, Old Woman: "I thought so." Camilla: "Mmmmmmm," Narrator 2: said Camilla. Suddenly the branches, feathers, and squiggly tails began to disappear.Then the whole room swirled around. When it stopped, there stood Camilla, and everything was back to normal. Camilla: "I'm cured!" Narrator 3: she shouted. The old woman said, Old Woman: "Yes, I knew the real you was in there somewhere." Narrator 4: She patted Camilla on the head and went outside and vanished into the crowd. Narrator 1: Afterward, Camilla wasn't quite the same. Narrator 2: Some of the kids at school said she was weird, but she didn't care a bit. Narrator 3: She ate all the lima beans she wanted, and she never had even a touch of stripes again.Il prezzo è l'espressione monetaria del valore, dal punto di vista del cliente, il prezzo che egli è disposto a pagare misura l'intensità del bisogno, nonché la quantità e la natura delle soddisfazioni che si aspetta; quanto al venditore, il prezzo al quale è disposto a vendere misura il valore dei fattori che compongono il prodotto, a cui si aggiunge il profitto che spera di realizzare. Definizione del prezzo da parte del mercato Il prezzo monetario può essere definito come un rapporto che indica l'ammontare di moneta necessaria per acquistare una quantità data di beni o servizi: prezzo = quantità di denaro ceduta dal cliente / quantità di beni ceduta dal venditore Il prezzo come misura del valore Per il cliente un prodotto rappresenta un paniere di attributi e i benefici che derivano dalla funzione base del prodotto e dall'insieme dei servizi supplementari, oggettivi e percepiti, che caratterizzano il prodotto o la marca → Il prezzo deve essere fissato in funzione del valore totale o dell'utilità globale percepita dal cliente, l'obiettivo del prezzo non è coprire i costi, ma catturare il valore percepito del prodotto nella mente del cliente. Il costo totale di acquisizione di un prodotto La quantità acquistata del bene misura solo parzialmente la quantità di soddisfazione ricevuta e la quantità di denaro ceduta misura solo in parte l'entità del sacrificio sostenuto. Il prezzo è il denaro che il venditore riceve al termine della transazione, ma non riflette per intero i costi a carico del consumatore; fra questi rientrano non solo il prezzo pagato, ma anche i termini di scambio (modalità pratiche che presiedono al trasferimento del titolo di proprietà) come: i termini di pagamento, i modi e i tempi di consegna, il servizio post-vendita ecc. Ecco alcune tra le principali fonti degli eventuali costi di trasferimento: costi di modifica del prodotti esistenti; cambiamenti nelle abitudini di consumo o di utilizzo del prodotto; spese di formazione o di riconversione degli utenti, investimenti per acquistare le nuove attrezzature necessarie all'utilizzo dei nuovi prodotti; costi di riorganizzazione e costi psicologici di cambiamento. Questi costi possono essere più elevati per alcuni clienti e meno per altri, rendendo il costo reale sostenuto dal cliente più elevato del prezzo monetario di vendita del prodotto; dal punto di vista del cliente, la nozione di prezzo comprende tutto l'insieme dei vantaggi offerti dal prodotto, nonché l'insieme dei sacrifici sostenuti dal cliente. Nell'ottica del cliente, il prezzo si definisce: prezzo = costo totale (monetario e non) a carico del cliente /vantaggi totali (tangibili e intangibili) forniti dal prodotto L'importanza delle decisioni di prezzo 1. Il prezzo influenza direttamente Il livello della domanda e determina il livello di attività: un prezzo elevato o troppo basso può compromettere lo sviluppo della domanda del prodotto; la misurazione della sensibilità al prezzo è un dato essenziale. 2.Il prezzo di vendita determina direttamente la redditivita dell'attività, determina: il margine di profitto, le quantità vendute, e stabilisce le condizioni di ammortamento degli investimenti nell'arco temporale stabilito. 3.Il prezzo di vendita stalbilito influenza la percezione globale del prodotto o marca e contribuisce al posizionamento della marca tra quelle note ai potenziali clienti; Il prezzo viene percepito come un segnale e si collega a un'idea di qualità e concorre quindi a creare l'immagine di marca. 4.il prezzo si presta più facilmente delle altre variabili di marketing al confronto tra prodotti o marche concorrenti; ogni minima variazione può stravolgere l’equilibrio di forze preesistenti. 5. la politica di prezzo deve essere compatibile con le altre componenti del marketing mix: Il prezzo deve consentire di finanziare le scelte pubblicitarie e promozionali; a un posizionamento di alta qualità e prezzo elevato deve corrispondere un packaging adeguato; la politica di prezzo deve rispettare le scelte distributive e consentire di raggiungere i margini di distribuzione necessari a centrare gli obiettivi di copertura del mercato. L'evoluzione dell'ambiente economico e competitivo ha contribuito ad accrescere l'importanza e la complessità delle decisioni di prezzo: ➥ l'accelerazione del progresso tecnologico e l'accorciamento del ciclo di vita dei prodotti implicano che un'attività nuova debba diventare redditizia in un intervallo di tempo più breve rispetto al passato. Un errore di fissazione del prezzo d'introduzione è più grave, in quanto più difficile da correggere. ➥ la proliferazione di marche e prodotti poco differenziati, il continuo emergere di nuovi prodotti e l'estensione delle linee di prodotti accrescono l'importanza di un posizionamento corretto in termini di prezzo, piccole differenze possono modificare in misura considerevole la percezione di una marca da parte del mercato. ➥ i vincoli legali, normativi e sociali che limitano l'autonomía dell'impresa nell'ambito della decisione dei prezzi. (fissazione di un tetto sui margini e l'obbligo di autorizzazione degli aumenti tariffari) ➥ i consumatori sono più attenti ai prezzi, soprattutto Il segmento dei millennial e della gen Z, tendono a confrontare immediatamente i prezzi, utilizzando le nuove tecnologie. Gli obiettivi delle decisioni di prezzo Tutte le imprese perseguono l'obiettivo di rendere redditizia la propria attività e di generare un surplus economico il più possibile elevato, gli obiettivi possibili sono classificabili in 3 categorie: 1. Gli obiettivi orientati al profitto → rientrano la massimizzazione del profitto e la realizzazione di un livello di redditività sufficiente sul capitale investito. L'obiettivo di massimizzare il profitto è il modello suggerito dagli economisti, nella pratica è di difficile applicazione, perché richiede conoscenze precise sulle funzioni di costo e domanda e perché presuppone una stabilità del fattori ambientali e competitivi che raramente si verifica nella realtà. L'obiettivo del tasso di redditività degli investimenti (ROI) cosiddetto "sufficiente" si traduce in pratica nel calcolare un prezzo target o un prezzo sufficiente, cioè un prezzo che per un previsto livello di attività, assicuri un ritorno "ragionevole" sul capitale investito. 2. Gli obiettivi orientati al volume → mirano a massimizzare il volume d'affari o la quota di mercato o ad assicurare un tasso di crescita sufficiente delle vendite. Massimizzare la quota di mercato comporta l'adozione di un prezzo di penetrazione, quindi basso ed inferiore a quello della concorrenza,per incrementare il volume delle vendite e la quota di mercato. Una volta raggiunta la posizione di leadership, l'obiettivo diventa quello di un tasso di redditività sufficiente o "soddisfacente", viene deciso quando le imprese che hanno accumulato un grande volume di produzione e prevedono pertanto una diminuzione dei loro costi. Attuare un prezzo di scrematura significa approfittare del fatto che certi gruppi di clienti sono disposti a pagare un prezzo elevato per l'alto valore distintivo (reale o percepito) del prodotto, l'obiettivo è realizzare un volume d'affari consistente attraverso una politica di prezzo elevato anziché di volume. 3. Gli obiettivi orientati alla concorrenza → mirano alla stabilizzazione del prezzi o all'allineamento con i prezzi dei concorrenti. In certi settori dominati da un'impresa leader, l'obiettivo è quello di instaurare un rapporto stabile fra i prezzi dei diversi prodotti in competizione e di evitare forti fluttuazioni che potrebbero compromettere la fiducia dei clienti. L'obiettivo dell'allineamento viene perseguito quando l'impresa si rende conto di non poter esercitare alcuna influenza sul mercato, soprattutto se è presente un impresa leader e se i prodotti sono standardizzati, indirizzerà i suoi sforzi verso forme di concorrenza diverse dal prezzo, che prevalgono in questo tipo di mercato (no-price competition). 18.2 Metodi di determinazione del prezzo Nella determinazione del prezzo, si tratta di indíviduare la migliore combinazione prezzo-quantità, tenendo conto dei vincoli determinati dai costi e dal mercati, le imprese possono impiegare 3 metodi diversi: La determinazione del prezzo basata sui costi → approccio più naturale ed immediato, per una (presunta) maggiore facilità di misurazione dei costi rispetto agli altri fattori. Il costo rappresenta il limite inferiore del prezzo: il produttore sostiene dei costi per realizzare e commercializzare i prodotti, quindi dovrà determinare il prezzo in modo da recuperare i costi sostenuti. L'analisi del costo permette di identificare 4 tipi di prezzi basati sul costi: ➥ Il prezzo soglia o prezzo minimo, è il prezzo corrispondente ai costi variabili (C), detti anche out-of-pocket costs. Il prezzo soglia, detto anche "prezzo marginale", è il prezzo minimo al di sotto del quale l'impresa non può scendere. Un commerciante può decidere di vendere alcuni prodotti a un prezzo soglia sperando di attrarre clienti che acquistino anche altri prodotti sui quali ci sia un certo margine di profitto.Permette di recuperare il solo costo di sostituzione del prodotto, con un margine lordo nullo: prezzo soglia = costo unitario variabile ➥Il prezzo tecnico o BEP (Break-Even Price), è Il prezzo corrispondente al punto di pareggio, cioè il prezzo che copre i costi variabili e i costi fissi per un dato volume di vendite; quindi che garantisce il recupero del valore di sostituzione del prodotto, la copertura dei costi fissi (F). prezzo tecnico = C + F/E(Q) dove E(Q) indica le quantità di prodotto che ci si attende di produrre (e vendere) nell'ipotesi del livello di attività considerata. ➥Il prezzo target o prezzo sufficiente, comprende, oltre ai costi variabili e fissi, un vincolo di profitto, cioè un margine di profitto generalmente determinato considerando un "normale" tasso di redditività (r) sul capitale investito (K). Il calcolo del prezzo target fa riferimento a un determinato volume di attività: prezzo target = C + F/E(Q) + r x K/ E(Q) dove K indica il capitale investito e r il tasso di redditività considerato sufficiente o normale. ➥il prezzo di ricarico o mark-up price, si calcola aggiungendo un ricarico standard al prezzo tecnico, viene usato per la sua semplicità, ignora del tutto la domanda e la concorrenza: si otterrà il margine desiderato solo al raggiungimento del livello di vendite atteso. prezzo di carico = prezzo tecnico / 1 - margine atteso Il rischio di ragionamento circolare L'inconveniente di questi metodi è la mancata considerazione del rapporto prezzo-volume, essi si basano su un ragionamento circolare implicito: il volume determina i costi, che determinano il prezzo, che a sua volta determina il livello della domanda. Nella realtà non è detto che il prezzo target o di ricarico adottato generi realmente il volume di attività in base al quale è stato calcolato. Es. Se la domanda non raggiunge la produzione di unità programmata per mantenere la redditività prevista sarà necessario aumentare il prezzo del prodotto stabilito inizialmente. L'utilità dei prezzi basati sui costi I prezzi orientati ai costi costituiscono solo un punto di partenza nel processo di definizione dei prezzi di mercato: non possono essere l'unica base per la determinazione del prezzo, perché non considerano né la domanda, né il valore percepito del prodotto, né la concorrenza. Sono utili in quanto forniscono una risposta alle seguenti domande: Quale volume di vendite bisogna raggiungere per coprire totalmente i costi? A che quota di mercato corrisponde il volume d'affari relativo alla soglia di redditività? ecc… Le decisioni di riduzione dei prezzi Il ricorso a una riduzione di prezzo in un'ottica di stimolazione della domanda è opportuno solo quando la domanda primaria è espandibile, in caso contrario, se l'impresa diminuisce i suoi prezzi e se tutti i concorrenti reagiscono immediatamente allineandosi, diminuiranno i profitti di tutti e le rispettive quote di mercato resteranno identiche. Esistono delle situazioni che possono essere favorevoli a una diminuzione dei prezzi in un mercato in cui la domanda primaria non è espandibile, senza determinare reazioni immediate da parte dei concorrenti,può succedere: Quando i concorrenti presentano costi superiori e non possono ridurli senza intaccare la propria redditività, ciò comporta la perdita di una quota di mercato, salvo quando determinati elementi di differenziazione neutralizzano lo scarto di prezzo. quando le imprese devono confrontarsi con concorrenti di piccole dimensioni che diminuiscono i prezzi, le piccole imprese possono sfruttare una diminuzione di prezzo che rappresenta un investimento meno pesante rispetto alle imprese con una quota di mercato consistente → per tale ragione i grandi concorrenti possono scegliere di mantenere i propri prezzi e di reagire su un altro terreno, per esempio mediante la pubblicità (costo fisso) Un'impresa può scegliere di non adeguarsi a una riduzione di prezzo, soprattutto quando il valore percepito del suo prodotto è superiore a quello del concorrenti diretti, gli elementi di differenziazione, come l'immagine, l'estensione dei servizi e la relazione con i clienti, a proteggerla dagli effetti di una riduzione di prezzo. La valutazione del costo di una riduzione di prezzo La diminuzione del prezzo è spesso molto onerosa, specie per un'impresa nella quale l'incidenza dei costi variabili è elevata, in quanto l'incremento della quantità venduta necessaria per mantenere il margine deve essere tanto maggiore quanto più è rilevante la quota dei costi variabili, l'aumento delle vendite necessario a mantenere lo stesso livello di redditività sarà così determinato: incremento volume di vendita (%) = ( x / M°- x) x 100 dove x è la percentuale di variazione di prezzo espressa in decimali e considerata in valore assoluto, mentre M° rappresenta la percentuale di margine lordo sul prezzo di vendita,in decimali, prima della diminuzione di prezzo. Le decisioni del rialzo dei prezzi L'impresa che da il via al rialzo del prezzo deve accertarsi della volontà di fare altrettanto da parte dei concorrenti che dipende dalle condizioni del mercato nel momento in cui il rialzo viene applicato, in particolare quando la capacità produttiva è pienamente utilizzata e la domanda cresce. L'impresa ha interesse a valutare il margine di manovra di cui dispone prima di avviare tale iniziativa, in caso di rialzo, la riduzione di volume tollerabile, che lascia invariato il precedente profitto, si determina come: tasso di riduzione tollerabile delle vendite (%) = (x /M° + x) x 100 dove x rappresenta la percentuale prevista di aumento del prezzo espressa come decimale. 18.3 La determinazione del prezzo basata sulla domanda In un'impresa orientata al mercato, il punto di partenza del processo decisionale è rappresentato dunque dal prezzo accettabile da parte del mercato, che a sua volta determina il costo target. La determinazione del prezzo in base alla domanda avviene pertanto in una prospettiva in cui la sensibilità del cliente rispetto al prezzo occupa un ruolo centrale. Il concetto di elasticità della domanda L'elasticità misura in modo diretto la sensibilità dei clienti rispetto al prezzo e permette di calcolare le quantità che saranno richieste a diversi livelli di prezzo. Definizione di elasticità rispetto al prezzo ⇒ ossia la variazione percentuale della domanda di un prodotto espressa in quantità, determin ata da una variazione di prezzo dell'1%; vale a dire: ε =% di variazione della domanda / % di variazione del prezzo L'elasticità al prezzo assume quasi sempre valori negativi, poiché un aumento di prezzo determina generalmente una riduzione delle quantità venduta, mentre una diminuzione di prezzo comporta generalmente un incremento delle vendite. I fattori che determinano la sensibilità del prezzo Nagle e Holden hanno identificato 9 fattori esplicativi della sensibilità al prezzo da parte dell'acquirente: 1. L'effetto del valore unico → Il prodotto presenta una o più qualità distintive di valore per l’acquirente, tangibili o intangibili, che lo differenziano dal prodotti della concorrenza 2. L'effetto della notorietà del sostituti → le alternative che si presentano al cliente (considerando sia i prodotti sia le marche concorrenti) e la misura in cui i potenziali clienti sono informati dell'esistenza di questi prodotti sostitutivi. 3. L'effetto della difficoltà di confronto → il grado di difficoltà incontrato dai clienti nei raffronti tra le offerte di diversi fornitori,se è possibile determinare gli attributi di un prodotto osservandolo se è necessario acquistarlo o consumarlo per capire che cosa offre, magari il prodotto presenta complessità e l'intervento di specialisti per valutare gli attributi che lo differenziano… 4. L'effetto della spesa totale → Per Il cliente, quanto è significativa la spesa per l'acquisto del prodotto, in valore assoluto e come percentuale (prodotto di consumo) del suo reddito disponibile? 5. L'effetto del vantaggio finale → Quali benefici ricerca l'acquirente nel prodotto, quanto è sensibile al costo dei benefici ricercati? Quale quota del beneficio ricercato copre il prezzo del prodotto? 6. L'effetto del costo condiviso → Il cliente paga la totalità del prezzo del prodotto? In caso negativo, che quota del prezzo paga effettivamente il cliente? 7. L'effetto dell'investimento passato → Il prodotto è utilizzato a complemento di un prodotto principale già acquistato e in previsione di un uso futuro? Per quanto tempo i clienti sono legati a queste spese? 8. L'effetto del rapporto qualità-prezzo → avere un'immagine di prestigio è un attributo importante per questo tipo di prodotto? Il prodotto aumenta il suo valore quando il livello elevato del suo prezzo porta a escludere alcuni gruppi di clienti? La perdita potenziale del cliente sarebbe alta nel caso in cui la qualità del prodotto si rivelasse insufficiente? 9. L'effetto scorta → I clienti detengono scorte importanti del prodotto? Ritengono o meno temporaneo il livello attuale del prezzo? Sensibilità al prezzo del cliente Industriale Porter rileva come i clienti che non sono sensibili al prezzo presentino una o più delle seguenti caratteristiche: • Il prezzo del prodotto di cui si sta valutando l'elasticità rappresenta una minima parte del costo totale di produzione del cliente e/o del suo budget di approvvigionamento. • La perdita subita a causa di un difetto del prodotto è elevata rispetto al costo del prodotto stesso. • La performance del prodotto (o servizio) consente un notevole risparmio o un netto miglioramento dei risultati per il cliente. • Il cliente adotta una strategia di qualità elevata, a cui il prodotto contribuisce notevolmente. • Il cliente ricerca un prodotto molto specifico o realizzato su ordinazione. • Il cliente presenta un'ottima redditività e/o può far sostenere facilmente il costo del prodotto acquistato ai propri clienti. • Il cliente è male informato sul prodotto e/o non acquista in base a esigenze specifiche. • Le motivazioni del centro d'acquisto responsabile della decisione Il calcolo del prezzo ottimale basato sull’elasticità La teoria economica sostiene che il prezzo ottimale (che massimizza gli utili), è inversamente proporzionale all'elasticità della domanda di un prodotto. Se l'elasticità rispetto al prezzo è nota, Il prezzo ottimale si calcola: POttimale = C x (ε / ε + 1) Oppure prezzo ottimale = costo diretto unitario x ricarico (mark-up) dove: ricarico (mark-up) = elasticità al prezzo / (elasticità al prezzo + 1) Il prezzo ottimale si ottiene aumentando il costo variabile unitario (o costo marginale) per una percentuale che è funzione dell'elasticità al prezzo e non dipende dal costo. Il coefficiente di ricarico ottimale è più elevato quando l'elasticità al prezzo ha un valore assoluto basso (cioè vicino all'unità). Quanto più l'elasticità si avvicina all'unità, tanto più elevato sarà il prezzo accettato dal mercato. I metodi di misurazione dell'elasticità al prezzo Possono essere raggruppati in 4 categorie principali: La prima include il metodo del giudizio degli esperti, che consiste nel chiedere ai responsabili di marketing di formulare tre previsioni sulla curva di risposta al prezzi, cioè le vendite attese, nell'ordi- ne: al prezzo più basso; al prezzo più alto possibile; a un livello di prezzo intermedio. è abbastanza valida e affidabile e presenta costi bassi, si può applicare sia ai prodotti nuovi ed esistenti. La seconda comprende le indagini dirette e indirette presso i consumatori, Il metodo più usato è quello indiretto dell'analisi congiunta, le analisi indirette risultano più utili di quelle dirette. La terza include le sperimentazioni di prezzo, sul campo o in laboratorio, è abbastanza valida e molto affidabile ma presenta costi alti, si può applicare sia ai prodotti nuovi ed esistenti. La quarta racchiude le analisi di dati storici, ovvero gli studi econometrici realizzati su dati presentati in ordine cronologico o emersi dai panel, è molto valida ma poco affidabile, i costi variano in base alla disponibilità e accessibilità, si può applicare solo ai prodotti già esistenti. Utilità delle misure dell'elasticità al prezzo I valori dell'elasticità permettono di sapere come agire sui prezzi per stimolare la domanda e aumentare il volume d'affari. I confronti tra i valori di elasticità di marche concorrenti permettono di identificare quelle in grado di resistere meglio ad aumenti di prezzo, il che rivela il loro potere di mercato. Il potere di mercato è misurato dalla capacità dell'impresa di imporre un prezzo superiore a quello praticato nei suoi diritti concorrenti; minore è l'elasticità della domanda più bassa sarà la sensibilità della quota di mercato di fronte a un aumento del prezzo del prodotto; quindi L'impresa che detiene un potere di mercato presenta una domanda meno elastica rispetto a quella di un prodotto poco differenziato ed è in grado di far accettare un prezzo superiore al gruppo di clienti sensibili all'elemento di differenziazione. I confronti tra i valori di elasticità del prodotti appartenenti a una stessa categoria permettono invece di modulare i prezzi all'interno della categoria stessa. Le elasticità incrociate permettono di prevedere gli spostamenti della domanda da una marca all'altra. Limiti delle misurazioni dell'elasticità al prezzo Tale approccio ha visto poche applicazioni pratiche, la nozione di elasticità presenta un certo numero di difficoltà concettuali e operative che riducono la sua utilità pratica, come: - misura una relazione basata sul comportamento d'acquisto ed è misurabile solo a posteriori. - Il suo valore predittivo dipenderà dalla stabilità delle condizioni dell'osservazione; - il problema non è tanto sapere come adattare i prezzi alla sensibilità attuale ma piuttosto come intervenire su tale sensibilità per modificarla nel senso voluto dall'impresa. - l'elasticità misura l'impatto del prezzo sulla quantità acquistata, ma non misura l'effetto del prezzo sulla propensione a provare il prodotto, sull'acquisto ripetuto, sulla percentuale di esclusività ecc. - nella pratica è spesso difficile ottenere stime di elasticità rispetto al prezzo abbastanza stabili e affidabili da consentire di "calcolare" un prezzo ottimale di vendita su tale base. L'approccio basato sul valore percepito Stabilisce il prezzo partendo dalle percezioni del consumatore, è una diretta conseguenza del concetto di prodotto come paniere di attributi. Dal punto di vista del consumatore, un prodotto corrisponde al paniere di vantaggi che derivano dal suo utilizzo, un'impresa orientata al mercato deve essere il valore percepito dal cliente dei benefici e dei costi del prodotto a guidare la determinazione del prezzo; i clienti pesano benefici e costi di un prodotto e preferiscono quello che offre il miglior rapporto qualità-prezzo. Il valore percepito del prodotto → L'analista di mercato deve capire le percezioni dei consumatori misurate con un metodo ‘composito’ basato sugli studi di Fishbein. Il punteggio del valore percepito è calcolato sulla base di: si valuta il grado di presenza percepito degli attributi tangibili ed intangibili (oltre al prezzo) su una scala da 1 a 10 rispetto a ciascuna marca. si moltiplicano le valutazioni espresse sugli attributi per il loro peso e poi si sommano i punteggi ottenuti; I risultati totali poi vengono trasformati in indici in rapporto al concorrente diretto, la marca che otterrà un punteggio superiore disporrà quindi degli attributi ritenuti migliori e secondo questa teoria potrà applicare un prezzo massimo accettabile superiore a quello dei concorrenti, Il valore è percepito di una marca non rappresenta il prezzo effettivamente praticabile ma solo il prezzo massimo praticabile. Il prezzo massimo accettabile → risulta utile quando si tratta di determinare Il prezzo di prodotti industriali, qualora Il vantaggio principale per l'acquirente sta la riduzione del costi. Per valutare quanto il cliente sia disposto a pagare, la procedura prevede di identificare: • identificare gli usi del prodotto dal punto di vista dell'acquirente (antiruggine,smacchiatore ecc..) • analizzare i diversi vantaggi offerti dal prodotto; (previene la ruggine, riduce i tempi e gli sforzi) • analizzare i costi sostenuti dal cliente per l'acquisto e l'utilizzo del prodotto; (installazione) • analizzare i vantaggi-costi, fissare il prezzo massimo accettabile da parte del cliente. Il prezzo massimo che il cliente è disposto a pagare (MAP, Maximum Acceptable Price): vantaggi - costi diversi dal prezzo = MAP I vantaggi possono essere funzionali (il servizio di base), finanziari, operativi o personali. I costi diversi dal prezzo possono essere: costi di acquisizione, d'installazione, di rischio o di malfunzionamento, di modifica delle abitudini ecc. Il confronto tra il prezzo massimo accettabile e i prezzi del concorrente permette di valutare il margine di manovra di cui l'impresa dispone. 18.4 La determinazione del prezzo basata sulla concorrenza Il grado di autonomia dell'impresa sui prezzi è influenzato da 2 fattori: la situazione concorrenziale del settore di riferimento e l'importanza del valore percepito del prodotto da parte dei clienti. L’autonomia tenderà a diminuire all’aumentare del numero di concorrenti, il valore percepito del prodotto può dare un vantaggio rispetto alla concorrenza, ove esista un elemento di differenziazione, percepito come un valore da parte del cliente, quest'ultimo è disposto a pagare un prezzo superiore a quello del prodotto concorrente, monopolio o di oligopolio differenziato → numero dei concorrenti è basso e il valore percepito elevato, l’impresa ha ampia autonomia. concorrenza pura → numero di concorrenti è elevato e il valore percepito basso, sono la domanda e l'offerta a definire il livello del prezzo di mercato. L'impresa non ha alcuna autonomia sui prezzi. oligopolio indifferenziato → il numero di concorrenti e il valore percepito sono bassi, l'interdipendenza tra i concorrenti è alta e limita l'autonomia di ognuno, si applica una strategia di allineamento del prezzo in base a quello del produttore leader di mercato. concorrenza monopolistica o imperfetta →il numero di concorrenti è elevato ed il valore percepito elevato, c'è una certa autonomia ma limitata dall'intensità della concorrenza. Prevedere il comportamento dei concorrenti Nelle situazioni di oligopolio indifferenziato, in cui la domanda primaria non è più espandibile e i prodotti offerti dalle imprese concorrenti sono poco differenziati; l'impresa può allinearsi ai prezzi dei concorrenti o leader del settore; fissare il prezzo ad un livello superiore, con il rischio di perdere quote di mercato; oppure fissare il prezzo ad un livello inferiore con il rischio di una guerra dei prezzi. Il risultato di queste strategie dipende dalle reazioni dei concorrenti, l'obiettivo di un'analisi della concorrenza sui prezzi consiste nel valutare la capacità d'azione dell'impresa e l'elasticità nella reazione della concorrenza e, in particolare, nel calcolare le elasticità di reazione dei concorrenti più pericolosi in caso di aumento o diminuzione del prezzo. Una guerra dei prezzi può consentire ad alcune imprese di migliorare la propria posizione concorrenziale compensato da un aumento della quota di mercato, inoltre può portare all'eliminazione di un concorrente potenzialmente pericoloso. 18.5 La gestione del prezzo Le imprese non applicano un prezzo di vendita unico, ma una serie di prezzi, adatti a diverse situazioni di mercato. prezzi flessibili → quando uno stesso prodotto viene venduto a clienti diversi a prezzi diversi, trova spiegazione nelle differenze tra i clienti, che presentano una diversa sensibilità al prezzo, ma anche nelle differenze nei costi e negli obiettivi promozionali. Quando le variazioni adottate non sono giustificate da differenze nei costi, si parla di discriminazioni di prezzo. Esistono 5 modi per ottenere una flessibilità del prezzo: 1. Sconti nel mercati secondari → succede quando l'impresa ha un eccesso di capacità produttiva e ha l'opportunità di vendere in un mercato nuovo senza aumentare i propri costi fissi/variabili e senza correre il rischio di perdere vendite sul suo mercato principale. L'impresa non può adottare un prezzo inferiore a quello soglia. Queste strategie trovano applicazione nel commercio internazionale, con alcuni gruppi socio demografici (studenti, bambini, anziani). Bisogna assicurarsi che chi acquista a prezzo ridotto non possa rivendere i prodotti sul mercato principale a causa degli alti costi di transazione. 2. Lo sconto stagionale → si adottano prezzi diversi per un prodotto destinato a potenziali clienti con una sensibilità al prezzo diversa all'inizio e alla fine della stagione: chi vuole acquistare solo ad inizio stagione è poco sensibile al prezzo; altri sono disposti ad acquistare in qualsiasi momento, ma sono molto sensibili al prezzo. L'impresa venderà a un prezzo elevato all'inizio della stagione, per poi abbassarlo sistematicamente alla fine. (prodotti di moda venduti fuori stagione); le riduzioni stagionali di prezzo sono note e prevedibili da parte dei consumatori. 3. Sconti casuali → alcuni clienti sono disposti a impegnare più tempo per cercare l'offerta migliore, mentre altri no. L'obiettivo dell'azienda è vendere a un prezzo più alto ai clienti poco informati ed evitare che i consumatori informati acquistino a un prezzo più basso dalla concorrenza. Questa strategia richiede di mantenere il prezzo alto e di applicare lo sconto a intervalli casuali; non prevedibili, in modo che gli acquirenti non informati comprino a caso al prezzo più alto, e quelli informati aspettino l'arrivo dello sconto. 4. I prezzi promozionali → ridurre temporaneamente i prezzi per stimolare le vendite. I prezzi promozionali sono: i prezzi invito dei supermercati, le offerte speciali, i finanziamenti a basso tasso di interesse offerti dai concessionari, le offerte di rimborso, ecc. presentano il vantaggio, per il produttore, di essere temporanee e di consentirgli di tornare facilmente al prezzo di base. Negli ultimi decenni, si è assistito a un proliferare di promozioni, che hanno fatto perdere credibilità alla politica di prezzo delle marche e dei distributori, per riconquistarla sono state adottate 2 politiche tariffarie: quella dei prezzi "equi" EDFP (Every Day Fair Pricing), e quella dei "saldi quotidiani" EDLP (Every Day Low Pricing), ossia di prezzi leggermente ridotti disponibili sempre. Un tipo di prezzo promozionale popolare fra i produttori è l’offerta di rimborso, che permette di stimolare le vendite senza dover modificare il prezzo di base, sono buoni sconto da rispedire al fabbricante dopo l'acquisto, che danno diritto a un rimborso. I vantaggi sono: - la promozione non rischia di danneggiare l'immagine di marca. - si può offrire lo sconto direttamente al consumatore, svincolandosi dal distributore - Il produttore può interrompere la promozione quando lo desidera per mettere a punto l'inventario o rispondere ai concorrenti senza abbassare il prezzo. - ha un basso costo, perché molti consumatori dimenticano di rispedire il coupon per richiedere il rimborso a cui hanno diritto, permettendo così al produttore di offrire sconti "fantasma". - il coupon restituito da informazioni sui clienti utili per il marketing diretto, in quanto va compilato con nome, indirizzo e altri dati sul consumatore. 5. Gestione dei prezzi → adattamento dei prezzi di listino in base alle condizioni di realizzazione della vendita: quantitativi ordinati, tipo di intermediari, aree geografiche ecc.. Questi prezzi/sconti sono volti a ricompensare i clienti il cui comportamento d'acquisto permette all'impresa di risparmíare sui costi delle transazioni. es. riduzioni di prezzo sulla quantità, per pagamento in contanti ecc. Lo yield management e i prezzi dinamici La pratica della discriminazione dei prezzi è diffusa nell'ambito dei servizi, in particolare nei settori a capacità produttiva limitata e fissa, come l'industria alberghiera, le compagnie aeree ecc., settori che devono gestire i ricavi generati da attività deperibili e hanno in comune le seguenti caratteristiche: l'offerta è rappresentata da un servizio; il servizio può essere prenotato in anticipo; la capacità di produzione è fissa e presenta un costo di accrescimento molto elevato; la domanda è segmentabile in base a criteri di flessibilità e sensibilità al prezzo Il metodo dello Yield management consiste nel commercializzare prima i servizi a prezzo ridotto e poi quelli a prezzo pieno, permette di costruire una scaletta di prezzi; per esempio se prendiamo il caso di una compagnia aerea verranno prima venduti a basso prezzo i biglietti a chi acquista in largo anticipo ovvero è sensibile al prezzo, poi verranno riservati posti ad un prezzo più elevato es. per chi viaggia per lavoro ed è meno sensibile al prezzo. Con l'applicazione di prezzi dinamici le aziende stabiliscono prezzi flessibili per la propria offerta in base agli algoritmi che tengono conto anche dei prezzi e dell'offerta di concorrenti oltre che della domanda; Il prezzo non varia in base a variabili correlate al cliente ma variabili come l'ora del giorno, l'offerta disponibile, il volume di traffico nella pagina ecc.. La tariffazione dinamica è stata introdotta nell'industria dei trasporti aerei negli Stati Uniti negli anni 80 ed ora molti altri operatori adottano questo metodo, come gli hotel, autonoleggi, huber.. nel turismo il prezzo è basato sul tempo; prezzi più alti vengono addebitati durante l'alta stagione o durante eventi speciali mentre in bassa stagione addebitano a prezzi più bassi; l'obiettivo del prezzo dinamico in questo settore è trovare il pezzo più alto che i consumatori sono disposti a pagare La flessibilità dei prezzi online Il commercio online favorisce la relazione di tipo one-to-one, facilita quindi l'approccio della determinazione del prezzo su misura; esistono 5 condizioni che devono verificarsi indipendentemente dal fatto che il mercato sia online o offline; Affinché si possano applicare discriminazioni sui prezzi: 1) i clienti devono essere eterogenei nella loro sensibilità al prezzo: alcuni pronti a pagare molto, altri a scegliere il prezzo più basso disponibile sul mercato. 2) il mercato deve essere segmentabile. 3) le possibilità di arbitraggio devono essere limitate, i clienti che hanno acquistato a basso prezzo non devono essere in grado di rivendere il prodotto con profitto a un prezzo più alto. 4) il costo della segmentazione non deve superare il reddito derivato dalla personalizzazione della vendita. 5) la percezione di equità (fairness) della transazione non può essere violata, si intende la sensazione dell'acquirente che la transazione sia conveniente per entrambe le parti. I meccanismi di Individuazione dei prezzi su internet Si identificano 5 meccanismi di transazione principali: 1. Nell'offerta di prezzo standard, i prezzi sono predeterminati per uno specifico prodotto o servizio. 2. Le aste (eBay) sono un metodo in cui un individuo partecipa con le proprie offerte contro altri per comprare le merci da un terzo soggetto. 3. Le aste inverse (Magento.com), dette anche "richieste di quotazione" sono un metodo d'acquisto in cui un'organizzazione definisce il prezzo che è disposta a pagare e i fornitori partecipano con la propria offerta; 4. Gli scambi 5. Gli acquisti di gruppo, il fornitore offre un prodotto/servizio a un prezzo basso e scontato e la transazione si realizza se l'acquisto viene fatto da un numero minimo di persone stabilito in anticipo. La pratica della price leadership Un'impresa grazie alla propria dimensione o posizione, può occupare una posizione di leadership "naturale" del mercato; le sue decisioni sui prezzi sono riconosciute e accettate dalle altre imprese presenti sul mercato di riferimento. Esistono diversi tipi di leadership: ⭆ la leadership dell'impresa dominante è quella dell'impresa che detiene la quota di mercato maggiore e che stabilisce un prezzo e lascia che gli altri vendano la loro produzione a quel prezzo. Il leader deve essere potente e indiscusso e deve accettare di mantenere un prezzo elevato. ⭆la leadership barometrica consiste nell'avviare aumenti e diminuzioni di prezzo che si rivelano necessari, alla luce delle variazioni del costi di produzione e dell'andamento della domanda. ⭆la leadership tacita è quella in cui un'azienda è tacitamente riconosciuta come leader senza che vi sia intesa o accordo formale, cosa che sarebbe illegale. Per esercitare la leadership in modo efficace è necessaria la concomitanza di molti fattori: - disporre di un sistema informativo di mkt efficiente, che consenta di comprendere le evoluzioni del mercato e di reagire di conseguenza. - preoccuparsi realmente dello stato di salute del settore e utilizzare metodi per misurare la performance manageriale a lungo termine. - saper guidare il settore in modo responsabile e che agisca in modo da preservare, a breve termine, la stabilità delle quote nel mercato di appartenenza. - la presenza di un leader è un fattore di stabilità e riduce il rischio di una guerra dei prezzi. 18.6 I prezzi di una gamma di prodotti Le imprese hanno diverse gamme di prodotti e, all'interno di ogni gamma, alcuni prodotti sono sostituti potenziali e altri sono complementari, questa strategia ha determinato la comparsa di legami d'interdipendenza tra i prodotti che si traducono in un effetto di sostituzione (cannibalizzazione), o in un effetto di complementarità. Nella determinazione dei prezzi è necessario tener conto di questa interdipendenza. La nozione di elasticità incrociata Permette di misurare il grado d'interdipendenza fra i prodotti venduti con una stessa marca/impresa, e di osservare il tipo d'interdipendenza laddove presente: complementarietà o sostituibilità. Nel caso di due prodotti A e B, si definisce nel modo seguente: elasticità incrociata = % di variazione delle quantità venduta di A / % di variazione del prezzo di B Se l’elasticità incrociata è positiva, fra i prodotti sussiste un effetto di sostituzione; se è negativa vi è invece complementarietà, se è nulla o vicinissima allo zero, i prodotti si dicono indipendenti. La definizione del prezzo della gamma I prezzi collegati → nel caso di prodotti complementari o indipendenti (prodotti tra loro collegati ma non sostituibili gli uni agli altri), l'impresa può offrire prezzi collegati, per cui i prodotti possono essere acquistati separatamente oppure in blocco, a un prezzo sensibilmente inferiore alla somma dei prezzi individuali. es.mercato delle automobili in cui, al momento di acquistare una vettura, vengono offerte opzioni d'acquisto di assortimenti di prodotti collegati. Il premium price → si applica quando per uno stesso prodotto si offrono più versioni o modelli (un modello base o standard e un modello superiore), i clienti potenziali del modello base sono molto sensibili al prezzo, diversamente da quelli interessati al modello superiore. La soluzione sta nello sfruttare le economie di scala e l'eterogeneità della domanda, rispondendo alle esigenze dei segmenti con un prodotto di fascia bassa = prezzo contenuto e un prodotto di fascia alta = prezzo elevato. Prezzo e immagine → assegna il prezzo in base all'immagine del prodotto, l'obiettivo è segnalare agli acquirenti la qualità del prodotto e utilizzare il guadagno ottenuto dalla versione più costosa per abbassare il prezzo della versione economica, in questo caso, non esiste differenza tra i prodotti o le marche, se non nell'immagine e nel posizionamento percepito. I prezzi del prodotti complementari → fra i prodotti complementari abbiamo i rasoi e le lamette: le automobili e i pezzi di ricambio ecc.. quando i clienti sono fedeli alla marca e vogliono acquistare gli articoli/accessori originali, l'impresa può praticare prezzi contenuti per l'attrezzatura di base e un prezzo elevato per i prodotti complementari. 18.7 Il prezzo dei nuovi prodotti Più il nuovo prodotto è originale e apporta una soluzione innovativa, tanto più è sensibile al prezzo. Il prezzo di lancio è fondamentale e condiziona il successo commerciale e finanziario dell'operazione. L'impresa deve scegliere fra 2 strategie contrapposte: La strategia del prezzo di scrematura → consiste nel vendere il nuovo prodotto a un prezzo elevato, rivolgendosi all'estremità superiore della curva di domanda, in modo da garantire rapidamente rientri finanziari dopo il lancio. Considerazioni che vanno a sostegno di questa strategia: ⭆ Quando si ritiene che il ciclo di vita del nuovo prodotto sarà breve o che il prodotto verrà rapidamente imitato dalla concorrenza, ⭆ Quando la domanda è anelastica, l'impresa può sfruttare questo vantaggio adottando un prezzo elevato, per poi adeguarlo progressivamente quando il mercato entra in una fase di maturità. ⭆ è utile quando l'introduzione di un nuovo prodotto richiede investimenti in pubblicità e promozione e l'impresa non dispone della liquidità necessaria, applicare prezzi elevati costituisce una forma di finanziamento che permette di generare le risorse necessarie alla strategia di lancio. La strategia del prezzo di penetrazione → consiste nel praticare prezzi bassi per occupare una quota di mercato rilevante sin dall'inizio, presuppone di adottare un sistema di distribuzione intensivo attraverso azioni pubblicitarie e di predisporre un'adeguata capacità produttiva fin dal lancio del prodotto. Vi sono alcune condizioni generali che devono prevalere: ⭆ la domanda deve essere elastica al prezzo lungo tutta la curva. ⭆ non esiste un segmento da privilegiare e la strategia da adottare consiste nel rivolgersi alla totalità del mercato con un prezzo sufficientemente basso da adattarsi al maggior numero di clienti. ⭆ viene applicata per scoraggiare l'ingresso nel mercato di nuovi concorrenti perchè i prezzi bassi costituiscono una barriera all'entrata molto efficace, ⭆ la strategia del prezzo di penetrazione è più rischiosa della strategia di scrematura.1.1945-1949: The immediate years after the Second World War ● At the end of 1945, Mao Zedong had come to see the USA as the greatest threat to his aspirations. a. He understood that East Asians were looking to the USA as the true liberator from Japanese imperialism. b. The USA’s support for the Kuomintang(KMT) and the restoration of U.S. authority in formerly Japanese Manchuria clashed with the CCP’s plans to use the region for its own needs in the impending civil war between the CCP and the GMD. ■ To compound matters, while the KMT was recognised internationally as the official government in China, Mao and the CCP saw the party as a puppet of U.S. imperialism. ● While Mao saw the USA as the greater threat to the CCP’s plans, Soviet actions also frustrated him. a. The USSR provided minimal and incoherent support for the Chinese Communists in Yan’an and Manchuria. b. Stalin also attempted to extract territorial and economic concessions from the Guomindang government in the Friendship and Alliance Treaty China signed in August 1945 under American and Soviet pressure in exchange for Soviet entry into the Second World War against Japan. ● The emerging superpower conflict over Europe and over American intervention in the impending civil war in China led to Mao’s ideological perception of the 8838/01 H1 History Paper 1 Theme II: The Cold War and East Asia (1945-1991) \ Page | 8 USA as an aggressive imperialist power that was hostile towards other countries, especially the USSR and China. ● In 1946, Mao promoted the theory of the intermediate zone, which envisioned a global united front against American imperialism. a. Mao saw the emerging superpower conflict as an American-Soviet contest for the intermediate zones, the capitalist, colonial and semi- colonial countries of West Europe, Africa, and Asia. b. Mao believed that the USSR was the defender of world peace. c. The intermediate zone, which included China, would not be part of the socialist camp. d. Despite the tremendous potential that U.S. aid held for China’s reconstruction, Mao’s ideological worldview and the impending civil war against the Guomindang prevented him from seeking normalised relations with the USA. In 1949, Mao decided to lean towards the side of the USSR despite two decades of unreliable support from them. e. Mao saw the anti-bourgeois campaigns in East Europe as evidence that China should isolate capitalist-bourgeois forces within it.2 f. Stalin had expelled Yugoslavia from the socialist camp as its leader, Tito was seen to have directly challenged Stalin’s authority. ■ Mao thus saw it as imperative to stress close unity to the USSR lest he was seen as a second Josip Broz Tito. At the same time, Mao sought a loose partnership with the USSR because Mao believed that China should preserve a high measure of self- reliance and zili gengsheng (自力更生) (regeneration through one’s own efforts). ● When the People’s Republic of China was formed on 1 October, 1949, relations between China’s and the USSR’s communists had improved substantially. a. However, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) was also aware that the USSR never treated Chinese interests as a priority. What the CCP failed to fully understand was that Stalin ruled East Europe much like it was his empire and how this would have implications for China. b. In Mao’s first visit to the USSR in December 1949, Stalin was non- committal regarding the interests raised by the Chinese, and treated Mao as an underling as he feared that closer relations with the PRC would cause the USSR to lose privileges gained from the KMT. _________________________ 2 What Mao did not realise at that point was that the anti-bourgeois campaigns in East European countries were part of Stalin’s intentional design to consolidate the power of communists in them. 8838/01 H1 History Paper 1 Theme II: The Cold War and East Asia (1945-1991) \ Page | 9 A note on Sino-American relations 2. Early 1950: The USA’s hands-off policy towards Taiwan begins to change ● By early 1950, the Truman administration had written off Taiwan and believed it was only a matter of time before the island fell to the PLA. ● Two events in early 1950 changed the USA’s position on East Asia. ○ The formation of the USSR-PRC alliance in February 1950 ○ The North Korean invasion of South Korea in June 1950 3. 1950: The Sino-Soviet Friendship, Alliance and Mutual Assistance Treaty ● Signed on 14 February, 1950. 3.1Implications for Sino-Soviet relations ● Stalin saw it as a means to get concessions that he had failed to get from the Kuomintang (KMT) government in 1945. ● For Mao and the newly founded People’s Republic of China (PRC), the alliance would provide security against U.S. imperialism and allow the PRC to get economic aid for reconstruction from the USSR. ● The Chinese realised soon after the 1950 treaty had been signed that the Soviet Union was intent on exploiting the agreement in its own favour. 8838/01 H1 History Paper 1 Theme II: The Cold War and East Asia (1945-1991) \ Page | 10 ● The Sino-Soviet alliance was officially directed against Japanese militarism and its allies, especially the USA. ● The Sino-Soviet alliance comprised three elements: party, military and economic relations. ○ Party: The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) was included in the customs of communist party internationalism, such as regular exchange of party delegations to congresses of the fraternal parties in Stalin’s socialist camp. ■ This move was meant to bring the PRC’s ideological beliefs about communism into greater alignment with the USSR’s. ○ Military: The alliance was supposed to provide the newly formed and weak PRC with a strategic deterrent and military aid against the USA on three fronts: Guomindang-held Taiwan, divided Korea, and Vietnam where France attempted to reestablish its colonial control. ■ Convinced that the USA would aggressively seek ways to undermine the CCP-led PRC through Taiwan, Korea and Vietnam, Mao sought an active defence. ● While in Moscow, Mao unsuccessfully asked Stalin to provide military assistance for the liberation of Taiwan. ● At the beginning of 1950, the PRC delivered large-scale military aid to Hanoi. The PRC was the first country to grant the communist-led Democratic Republic of Vietnam diplomatic recognition on 18 January 1950; Mao persuaded Stalin to do so on 30 January 1950. ● The PRC committed itself to North Korea, where Mao saw the commitment to North Korea both as a defence against U.S. imperialism and as support for a fellow communist country. ○ Economic: During Mao’s first stay in Moscow, Stalin had personally promised the delivery of fifty projects for primary industrialisation. ■ The agreement also led to a series of supplementary ones, such as a US$ 300 million loan that the PRC would repay with a mixture of strategic materials, rubber, agricultural products, goods for daily use and hard currency. ■ Significantly, Stalin used Soviet military and economic aid to extract concessions similar to those he failed to get from the Guomindang government in 1945. ■ The USSR and PRC would disagree on the pace and extent of the PRC’s planned development. ● In the last five weeks of Stalin’s life in early 1953, he attempted to pressure the PRC to reduce the planned 8838/01 H1 History Paper 1 Theme II: The Cold War and East Asia (1945-1991) \ Page | 11 development speed to a mere annual growth of 13-14 percent, and to plan individual projects in detail beforehand. These moves would potentially result in the PRC’s economy growing at a slower rate than initially projected. ● However, after Stalin’s death on 5 March 1953, the PRC’s Zhou Enlai decided to use his visit of condolence to the USSR to press forward negotiations. ○ When talks resumed in 1 April 1953, Beijing pressed for 150 Soviet industrial projects, but Moscow reduced them to 91 on the basis of insufficient data provided by the Chinese. ■ The economic disarray after China’s civil war and the economic pressures that came with the Korean War influenced recovery and reconstruction in the early years of the PRC. ● Despite the PRC being unable to tap into Soviet economic assistance immediately, mutual trade between China and the USSR nevertheless increased 6.5 times from 1950 to 1956. ● Together with the 50 projects promised by Stalin in 1950, the final version of the First FYP for the PRC included 141 Soviet and 68 East European projects in a total of 649 planned. Three thousand Soviet advisers sent to China in subsequent years were directly linked to the First FYP. ● By 1955, over 60 percent of China’s goods exchange was with the USSR. ● Soviet economic assistance to China added up to the largest foreign development venture in the socialist camp ever. ○ The total number of planned projects amounted to between 300 and 360 projects. ○ However, the number of total finished projects ranged between 134 and 150. ● Transfers of knowledge and expertise were important to China’s economic development. ○ A study on Soviet experts counts 1,445 political advisers and 9,313 technical specialists sent to China until their sudden withdrawal in mid-1960. ■ For political reasons, the gradual withdrawal of advisers began after late 1956.