The ORBC database is used for all of the following except which of the following

A class add or change that does not have member movement

Subgroup additions or changes that have member movement

Group benefit change requests that are requested off the group’s renewal

A group who is requesting to change theirrenewal date

Data Bases | Quizalize

Chapter 7 - Review Data and Decision Making *Glow bus due at midnight, name and student number: answer questions using content in class People have created wonderful things for centuries, and management Management can be traced as far back as 500 bc when the ancient Sumerians used written records to improve government and business activities Why is it important to lean from the past Not to repeat our mistakes Classical management approaches Scientific management Administrative Principles Bureaucratic organisation Behavioural Management Approaches Follett’s Organizations as communities The Hawthorne studies Maslow’s theory of human needs Mcgregor’s Theory x and Theory Y Argyris Personality and organisation Modern Management foundations Organises as systems Contingency thinking Quality management Quantitative and analysis and tools Evidence-based management Contributions Frederick Taylor - Father of Scientific management He noticed that workers often did their jobs with wasted motions and without a constant approach. His resulted in inefficiency and low performance He believed the problem could be fixed if workers were taught to do their jobs in the best ways and ten were helped and guided by supervisors Four guiding principles of scientific management Rules of motion, standardized work and proper working conditions Select workers with the right abilities Train workers and give them incentives Support workers by planning and smoothing the way as they do their work Frank and Lillian Gilbreth Pioneered use of motitono studies as a management tool In one famous case, the gilbreaths cut down the number of motions used by bricklayers adn tripled their productivity Contributions from scientific management Make results-based compensation a performance incentive Carefully design jobs with efficient work methods Carefully select workers with the ability to perform the job Trian workers to execute activities to the best of their abilities Train supervisors to support workers so they can perform jobs to the best of their abilities Classical Management Adiminstative principle (Henro Fayol) 1919, after a career in French industry, Henri F published “adminisration Industrielle et Generale” (General and industrial management) in which we out like his views on the management of organiztion and workers Rules and duties in management Foresight - to complete a plan of action for the future Organization - To provide and mobilize resources to implement the plan Common- to lead, select and evaluate workers to get the best work toward the plan Coordination- to fit diverse efforts together and ensure information is shared and problems solved Control- to make sure things happen according to plan and to take necessary corrective action Classical management Bureacratic organiztion (Max Weber) Max weber (Bureaucrativ organization) - late 19th century German political economist who had a major impact in the fields of management and sociology Bureaucratic Organization An ideal, intentionally rational adn very efficient form of organization Based on the principles of logic, order and legitimate authority Characteristics of BO Clear division of labour Clear hierarchy of authority Formal rules and procedure Impersonality Careers based on merit What are some disadvantages of bureaucracy Takes a long time for problems to become solved bec there are procedures and there is a chain of people in command Having the power Rules have to follow Excessive paperwork or “red tape” Slowness in handling problems Rigidity in the face of shifting needs Resistance to change Employee apathy Behavioural Management Approaches (focus on understanding the elements that affect human behaviour in organisations) Follett’s Organizations as communites Mary park follett contributed to the transition from classical thinking inot behavioural management Groups and human cooperation Groups allow individuales too combine their talents for a greater good Organizations are cooperating “communites” of managers adn workers Managers job is to help people copperate and achive an integration of goals and intrests Forward-looking managment insight: Making every emploee an owner creates a sense of collective responsibility Prescursor of employrr ownership, profit sharing and gain sharing Buniess problems invovle a varity of inter realted factors Prescursor of systems thinking Private profits realtive to public good Precursor of managerial ethics and social respinsibility Hawthorne studies Took place at western electric chicago plan, a tran led by Harvards Elton Mayo set out to learn how econmic incentives and workplace conditions affected workers output Maing objective Intial study examined how ecomoin incentives adn physical conditions affected worker output (productivity) No consistent relationship found During experientmetn they had 2 groups The expertiant groups (impoved wokring ocnditions ) The control group ( no changes to original working conidtions) No consitant relationship found, perfomance in both groups increased even after removing incentives Social setting and human relations Concluded New “social setting” led workers to do good job Good “Human relations” = higher productivity The contect - The Great Depression (1929-1940) Employee attitudes and groups processes Osme thinsf satisifed some workers but not others People resticited output to adhere to groups norms (Avoid layoffs) Lessons from he hawthrone stufirs Social and human concerns are keys to prductivity Hawthrone effect - People who are singled out for special attention perform as expected Maslow’s Theory of human needs Human needs The work of psychologist Abraham Maslow in the area if human “needs,” also has had a major impact in the behavioual apporach to management Maslow’s hierarchy of human needs Self actualization needs Higherst level: need foe self fulfillment to grow and use abilites to fullest and most creative extent Esteem needs Needs fro esteem in eyes of others need for respect, prestige, recognition; need for self esteem, personal sense of competence, mastery Social needs Need for love, affection, sense of belongingness in ones relationship either other people Safett needs Need for security, protection and stability in teh events of day to day life Physiological needs Most basic of all human needs: need for biological maintence; food, water and phydical well being Principles Defict principle: A satidifed need is not a motivator of behaviour Progress principles: A need becomes a motivator once the preceding lower-level need is satisfied Both principles cease to operate at self actulilzation level McGregor’s Theories Thepry x assumes that workers; Dislike work Lack ambition Are irresponsible Resist change Prefer to be led Theoyry y assumes that workers are Willing to work Willing to accept responsibility Capable of self control Capable of self direction Imaginative and creative According to McGregor, Managers create: Self fulfilling prophecies Implications of Theory x and y Theory x managers: Create situations where workers become dependent, passive and reluctant Theory y managers create situations where workers respond with initiative and high performance Central to notions of empowerment and self management Argyris’s theory of adult personality Classical management principles and practices inhibit worker maturation and are inconsistent with the mature adult personality Management practices should accommodate the mature personality: Increasing task responsibility Increasing task variety Using participative decision making Modern Management Foundation Quantitative analysis and Tools Analytics: the use of large data bases and mathematics to solve problems and make informed decision using systematic analysis Organization as systems System Collection of interrelated parts that function together to achieve a common purpose Subsystem A smaller component of a larger system Open systems Organisations that interact with their environment Contingency thinking Tires to maths managerial responses with problem (situation) No “one best way” to manage The “appropriate way to to manage depends on the situations Quality management Qality anc competitive advantafe are linked Total quality managment (TQM) Comprehensive approach to contiou impovment on teh entire organization ISO certification Gloval quality management standards Refine and upgrade quality to meet ISO requirments Evidednce Based Managment Making management decision on “hard facts” about what really works

Dès le début de vos recherches, vous allez collecter, produire et exploiter des données. La gestion des données (Research Data Management - RDM) fait partie du processus de recherche. Elle concerne l'ensemble des opérations de collecte, description, stockage, traitement, analyse, archivage et mise en accès des données. (extrait de : Passeport pour la Science Ouverte. Guide pratique pour les doctorants ) "La science ouverte est la diffusion sans entrave des publications et des données de la recherche. Elle s’appuie sur l’opportunité que représente la mutation numérique pour développer l’accès ouvert aux publications et – autant que possible – aux données de la recherche. "Les données de la recherche sont la matière première de la connaissance. Les partager, c'est ouvrir de nouvelles perspectives scientifiques" Source : Plan national pour la Science ouverte - Ministère ESR - Juillet 2018 Source image : https://bibliotheques.univ-tlse3.fr/file/composantes-science-ouverte Cette page est une introduction à la gestion des données de recherche. Elle présente quelques concepts et étapes clés pour vous engager dans cette démarche. Consultez les liens pour approfondir vos connaissances. • What are data ? Définition des données de recherche de l’OCDE (2007) « Enregistrements factuels (chiffres, textes, images, sons) utilisés comme source principale pour la recherche scientifique et généralement reconnus par la communauté scientifique comme nécessaires pour valider les résultats de la recherche. Un ensemble de données de recherche constitue une représentation systématique et partielle du sujet faisant l’objet de la recherche ». Exemples • les images d’une ville préhistorique deviennent des données pour un chercheur qui étudie l’histoire de cette ville; • les « données » d’un linguiste peuvent être des écrits ou des discours, des enregistrements de locuteurs ; • les « données » d’un médiéviste sont des sources archivistiques, archéologiques, épigraphiques, iconographiques, littéraires ; • les « données » d’un géologue rassemblent des coupes et observations de terrain consignées sur un carnet, des résultats de carottage, des analyses d’échantillons, des données sismographiques… • • Pourquoi partager ses données ? "La science ouverte vise à construire un écosystème dans lequel la science est plus cumulative, plus fortement étayée par des données, plus transparente, plus rapide et d’accès plus universel.La science ouverte favorise également les avancées scientifiques, particulièrement les avancées imprévues, ainsi que l’innovation, les progrès économiques et sociaux, en France, dans les pays développés et dans les pays en développement. Enfin, la science ouverte constitue un levier pour l’intégrité scientifique et favorise la confiance des citoyens dans la science. Elle constitue un progrès scientifique et un progrès de société." Source : Plan national pour la Science Ouverte (2018) Les enjeux de l'Open Data • enjeux patrimoniaux o preuve et mémoire (éviter les pertes de données) • enjeux économiques o valeur économique de la donnée o réutilisation gratuite ou payante des données, exploitation des résultats de recherches antérieures (éviter de refaire ce qui a déjà été validé), o accélération de l'innovation et le retour sur investissement dans la R&D • enjeux scientifiques o de "hypothesis-driven" à "data-driven" o plus de visibilité pour le scientifique • enjeux sociétaux o participation des citoyens et de la société civile : "Citizen science" o confiance en la recherche Pour aller plus loin • Site Doranum : https://doranum.fr/enjeux-benefices/fiche-synthetique/ • Adopter de bonnes pratiques tout au long du cycle de vie des données De bonnes pratiques de gestion à toutes les étapes du cycle de vie de la donnée sont un préalable indispensable à l’ouverture des données et à leur réutilisation. • Rechercher des données Pour identifier des jeux de données (datasets) pertinents pour votre thèse, des outils de recherche sont disponibles. Suivez ces liens pour les découvrir : • Site Doranum : https://doranum.fr/acces-visualisation/rechercher-donnees/ • Site DataCC - Vos besoins, trouver des données : https://www.datacc.org/vos-besoins/trouver-des-donnees/ • Fiche CoopIST : Trouver des jeux de données via des bases pluridisciplinaires et des moteurs de recherche Pensez-aussi à consulter l'entrepôt institutionnel Data INRAE Page de présentation du portail • Choisir les bons formats et bien organiser vos données  Choisir des formats de fichier : https://www6.inrae.fr/datapartage/Gerer/Choisir-des-formats-de-fichier  Nommer et organiser vos fichiers de données : https://www6.inrae.fr/datapartage/Gerer/Nommer-et-organiser-ses-fichiers-de-donnees Pour aller plus loin • Jaouen, G.- Gérer ses données. Pourquoi, Comment ? Séminaire - Guadeloupe, du 25 au 27 Novembre 2019 – CRAG INRA • Bien décrire et documenter ses données La description d’un jeu de données se fait à l’aide de métadonnées (*) qui doivent apporter suffisamment d'éléments (sur la collecte des données, les unités de mesure employées...) pour chercher et trouver le jeu de données, juger de sa qualité/fiabilité, et pouvoir le comprendre ou le réutiliser dans un autre contexte. (*) Définition des métadonnées : Ensemble d’informations structurées qui décrit, explicite, localise une ressource informationnelle, dans le but d’en faciliter la recherche, l’usage, et la gestion. Source : NISO. Understanding Metadata. 2004. Quelques liens utiles : • Site Doranum : https://doranum.fr/metadonnees-standards-formats/ • DataCC : https://www.datacc.org/vos-besoins/documenter-ses-donnees/metadonnees/ • Site DataPartage INRAE : https://www6.inrae.fr/datapartage/Gerer/Documenter-les-donnees En complément des métadonnées, la rédaction d'un fichier READ ME.txt est également recommandée. • Stocker, sécuriser, préserver ses données Bien différencier les notions de stockage et d'archivage. Anticiper pour déterminer les données à éliminer et celles qui doivent être préservées à long terme. • Dans l'environnement INRAE : https://www6.inrae.fr/datapartage/Gerer/Stocker-les-donnees • Site Doranum : https://doranum.fr/stockage-archivage/ • Site DataCC : https://www.datacc.org/vos-besoins/conserver-ses-donnees/ • Partager, ne pas partager ses données ? Dans le cadre de la Science Ouverte, il y a de plus en plus d'incitations voire d'exigences pour rendre accessibles les données, en particulier les données liées aux publications : • de l'édition scientifique : de plus en plus de revues adoptent une "data policy" (à consulter dans les instructions aux auteurs) et exigent des auteurs qu'ils fournissent les données associées aux publications, • des organismes de financement (ANR, Commission Européenne ...), • des politiques nationale (Plan national pour la Science ouverte - Ministère ESR - Juillet 2018) et institutionnelle. Mais attention, toutes les données ne sont pas partageables : assurez-vous que vos données sont bien diffusables au regard du droit et des conditions d'exercice de votre thèse et de son mode de financement (se reporter à votre contrat de thèse). Les données produites dans les organismes de recherche publics sont communicables à tous si elles n'entrent pas dans le cadre d'exceptions légales (sécurité défense, sécurité des populations, patrimoine scientifique et technique, données personnelles, données liées au secret, statistique, etc.) Liens utiles : • sur le site Data Partage, la page Partager-Publier ou la page : "Données de la recherche : qui a les droits, qui doit partager ?" • le site INRAE dédié à la protection des données personnelles et l'application du RGPD (Règlement général sur la protection des données) : https://intranet.inrae.fr/cil-dpo • Valoriser ses données Voici les principales voies de diffusion •  Partager ses données en les déposant dans un entrepôt  Choisir un entrepôt  Déposer dans Data INRAE  Partager ses données comme matériel supplémentaire d'un article (à la demande de l'éditeur)  Publier un Data Paper (article de données) : la meilleure voie en terme de visibilité des données, et pour faciliter leur réutilisation. Pour aller plus loin • Site Doranum o Dépôts et entrepôts. Comment et où déposer mes données ? o Data papers et Data journals. Comment publier mes données comme un article scientifique ? • Site DataCC o Valoriser ses données • Site CoopIST o Déposer des données de recherche dans un entrepôt o Rédiger et publier un data paper dans une revue scientifique A télécharger : Synthèse du processus de rédaction d'un article avec des données associées • Pourquoi ne pas rédiger un plan de gestion de données (PGD) pour votre thèse ? La thèse peut être assimilée à un projet et certaines universités au Royaume Uni, aux Pays-Bas et plus récemment en France préconisent la rédaction d'un plan de gestion associé à la thèse. Le PGD (ou DMP = Data Management Plan) est un outil de planification qui peut vous aider à anticiper et bien gérer toutes les étapes du cycle de vie de vos données, à limiter les risques de perte ou corruption de données, à adopter de bonnes pratiques de gestion, pour in fine produire des données respectueuses des principes FAIR, adoptés aujourd'hui par l'ensemble des acteurs de la recherche. Il est désormais exigé par la plupart des financeurs de la recherche (Commission Européenne et ANR ...) dans le cadre de projets financés. Rédiger un PGD pour votre thèse, peut être un bon exercice pour vous préparer à la future rédaction de réponses à des appels d'offre. Comment faire en pratique ? • Site DataPartage : Pourquoi et comment rédiger un plan de gestion de données ? • Site Doranum : https://doranum.fr/plan-gestion-donnees-dmp/, La minute vidéo PGD • Site DataCC : https://www.datacc.org/bonnes-pratiques/adopter-un-plan-de-gestion-des-donnees/ • Suivre une classe virtuelle INRAE : Open Class "Rédaction d'un PGD" • Produire des données FAIR ! Favoriser la production de données FAIR (Findable - Accessible - Interoperable - Reusable) est aujourd'hui un objectif soutenu par l'ensemble des acteurs de la recherche. Source : https://open-science-training-handbook.gitbook.io/book/ Si vous suivez les conseils et recommandations de cette page, vous avez toutes les chances d'avoir produit des données de qualité. Si vous préférez une version illustrée : "Pensez FAIR" - https://datapartage.inrae.fr/Gerer/Cycle-de-la-donnee Affiche cycle de vie des données réalisée dans le cadre des Missions QualiNous & RGPD, INRAE-ACT Vous pouvez tester le niveau de "Fairification" de vos données grâce à ces outils :  ARDC : https://ardc.edu.au/resources/working-with-data/fair-data/fair-self-assessment-tool • D'autres ressources pour se former ou s'autoformer En interne INRAE • Formation à la science ouverte OSCAR - Module "Gestion et partage des données" • Le site "Gestion et partage des données" • Des classes virtuelles d'environ 2h (Open Class) sont régulièrement proposées sur : o la rédaction des plans de gestion de données, o le dépôt et la description d'un jeu de données dans Data INRAE, o la rédaction et la publication de data papers, Sites externes • Le site DORANUM (Données de la Recherche : Apprentissage NUMérique à la gestion et au partage) propose un dispositif de formation à distance intégrant de nombreuses ressources d’auto-formation déclinées sur différents supports (textes, infographies, vidéos) et sur 9 thématiques. o Parcours interactif sur la gestion des données de la recherche (2020) o • Le site DataCC. Accompagnement à la gestion des données de recherche en physique et en chimie : https://www.datacc.org/ o Data Stories : https://www.datacc.org/reseau-datacc/data-stories/ o • Le dossier "Open Access & Open Data" réalisé par l'Ecole des Ponts - ParisTech • • The Open Science Training Handbook : https://www.ouvrirlascience.fr/the-open-science-training-handbook/

Why and How Managers Plan Importance of planning The planing process Benefits of planning Planning and time management Types of PLans used by managers Long term and short term plans Strageic and tactical plans Operational plans Planning Tools and Techiqunes Forecasting Contrigency planning Scenario planning Benchmaking Use of staff planners Implementing Plans to Achive Results Goal setting Goal management Goal alignment Participation and involvement Planning Def: The process of setting objectives and determining how best to accomplish them Planning at Eaton Corporation “Making the hard decision before events force them upon you, an anticipating the future needs of the market before the demand asset itself Objectives and goals Identifity the specific results or desired outcomes that one intends to achieve Plan Def: A statement of action steps to be taken in order to accomplish the objectives (goals) Steps in the planning process: Define your objectives Determine where you stand vis-a-vis objectives Develpo premises reagrdsing future conditions Analyze alternatives and make a plan Implement the plan and evaluate results What are the benefits of planning Improves focus and flexibility Imporves action orteitation Imporves coordination and control Imporves time management Time Managment Personal time management tips Do say “no” to request that distract you form what you should be doing Dont get bogged down inn details that can be addressed later Do screen telephone calls, emails and meeting request Dont let drop in visitors, text messaging use up your time Do prioritize your important and urgent work Dont become calendar bound by letting other control your schedule Do follow priorities; do most important and urgent work first Some 77% of mangers in one survey said that digital age has increased th number of decisions they have to make 43% said there was less time available to make these decisions Types of plans used by Managers What is teh time horizon Long term vs Short term Long term Look three or more years into teh future Short term plans Typically cover one year or less However: the increasing environmental complexity and dynamism of recent years has severely tested the concept of “long-term” planning Plans are subject to frequent revisions Most executives would likely agree that these complexities adn uncertainties challenge how er actually go about planning and how far ahead we can really plan At the very least we can conclude that there is a lot less permanency to long term plans today and that tey are subject to frequent revision Managment reaeracher Eillot Jaques believes tha people vary in their capability to think with different time horizons Types of Plans used by Managers (3 of 5) Strategic plans Set broad, comprehensive and linger term action directions for teh entire organization or major division Vision Clarifies purpose of the organization and what it hopes to be on the future Typical plans Specify how the organizations resources are used to implement strategy Tactical plans in business often take the form of functional plans Functional plans Incidate how different component within the organiztion will help accompnlish the overall strategy Production plans Finacial plans Facilites Plans Logisitc plans Marketing plans Human Resource Plans Operation plans Describe short-term activities to implement strategic plans Policies: Are standing plans that communicate guidelines for decisions Ex: Policies on office romances: The media is quick to report when a top executive or public figures runs into trouble over an office affair. Are there ant policies on office romances? Employer polices on office raltioshiis vary. One survey find teh following: 24% prohibit relationships among employees in the same department 13% prohibit relationships among employees who have the smae supervisor 80% prohibit relationships between supervisors and subordinates 5% have no restrictions on office romances Procedures: Are rules that describe actions to be taken in specific situations Budgets: are single use plans that commit resources to projects or activities Zero based budgets: allocate resources as if each budget were brand new There is no guarantee that any past funding will be renwer. All propsales, old and new, must compete for available funds at teh start of each new budget cycle Forcasting Attempts to predict the future Qualitaive forecasting uses expert opinions Quantitative forecasting uses mathematical models and statiscal aanylsis of historical data dna surveys Contingency planning Identify alternative course of action to take when things go wrong Anticipate changing conditions Contain trigger points to indicate when to activate plan (or a specific course of action) Scenario planning A long term version of contingency planning Identifying alternative future scenarios Plans made for each future scenario Increases organizations flexibility and preparation for future shocks Benchmarking Use of external and internal comparisons to better evaluate current performance Adopting best practices: things people adn organization do that lead to superior performance Staff Planners Experts who assist in all steps of the planning process They help bring focus and expertise to a wide variety of planning tasks Important: Communication between staff planers landline managers is essential for teh success of teh planning process Goal Setting - Always set SMART goal The solution: Goal Aligment Between Team Leader and Team Member Jonintly plan: Set objectives, set standards, choose actions Individually acy: Perform tasks (member), provide support (leader) Jointly control: Review results, discuss implications, renew cycle x4 Collective effort and commitment Participatroy planning Includes in all planning steps that people who will be affected by the plans adn askedd to help implement them Unloacks motivational potential of goal setting Management by objective (MBO) promotes participation Participation increases understanding and acceptance of plan and commitment to success Participatory planning - Number of people involved in teh decision making process Amazon is intensely focused on what it does. It believes in creating tight single-threaded teams, also known as “2 pizza team.” Data and Decision Making What are some of the important competencies managers must have today? Delegate Marketing and technology Manager must have Technological competency Ability to understand new technologies and to use them to their best advantage Information competency Ability to locate, gather, organize and display information for decision-making and problem solving Analytical competency Ability to evaluate and analyze information to make actual decisions and solve real problems What is the difference between Data and Information Data Raw facts and observation Information Data made useful and meaningful for decision-making Important concepts Big data Exists in huge quantities and is difficult to process without sophisticated mathematical and analytical techniques Data production today Bernard Marr is an internationally best-selling author. He helps organizations improve their business performance, use data more intelligently Data mining The process of analyzing data to produce useful information for decision-makers Management Analytics The systematic evaluation and analysis of data to make informed decision Information drives management Bad Data Refers to information that can be erroneous, misleading, and without general formatting The challenge: Can er use the data that is available in the “Big Data” Needs to be valid Can not trust everything out there Being ethical Look at the trends Data is structured and unstructured Data BIg Data = Structured + Unstructured Information Drive Management decision making What are the characteristics of useful information Easy to access If its credible Accurate Characteristics of useful information: Timely High quality Complete Relevant Understandable What about bad data It's not credible Miss information If it is not structured/ organized Bias based on opinions Confusing If its updated Bad data Refers to information that can be erroneous miss What are some examples of Management information system Business intelligence -BI Information systems to extract and report data in organized ways that are useful to decision-makers Executive dashboards Visually update and display key performance metrics (or Key Performance Indicators -KPIs) and information on a real-time basis Information needs in organization External Environment Information exchanges with the external environment Gather intelligence information Provide public information Information needs within the organizations (internal Enviroement) Information exchange within the organization Facilitate decision making Facilitate problem-solving Managers as information processors Continually gather, share and receive information Now as much electronic as it is face-to-face Always on, always connected How many people telecommute at least once a week 70% of people globally work remotely at least once a week, Work at home after covid 19 our forecast Our best estimate it that 25-30% of the workforce will be working form home multiple days a week by the end of 2021 As of 2023, 12.7% of full time employees work from home, while 28.2% work a hybrid model Managers as problem solvers Problem-solving The process of identifying a discrepancy between actual and desired performance and taking action to resolve it Ishikawa Fishbone diagram To identify the cause of problems Decision A choice among possible alternative courses of action Performance threat Something is wrong or has the potential to go wrong Performance opportunity The situation offers the chance for a better future if the right steps are taken Problem-solving approaches or style - from textbook Problem avoiders Inactive in information gathering and solving problems Problem seekers Proactive in anticipation of problems and opportunities and taking appropriate action to gain an advantage Problem solvers Reactive in gathering information and solving problem Managers - can approach problems in a systematic or intuitive manner Systematic thinking approaches problem in rational, step-by-step and analytical fashion Intuitive thinking approaches problems in a flexible and spontaneous fashion Multidimensional thinking- applies both intuitive and systematic thinking Managers face structured and unstructured problems Structure problems Are ones that are familiar, straight forward, and clear with respect to information needs Program decisions apply solutions that are readily available from past experiences to solve structured problems Know how to solve them Familiar Know what we are dealing with Unstructured problems Are ones that are full of ambiguities and information deficiencies Nonprogrammed decisions apply a specific solution to meet the demands of a unique problem Commonly faced by higher-level management Crisis decision making A crisis involves an unexpected problem that can lead to disaster if not resolved quickly and appropriately Ruled for crisis management Figure out what is going on Remember that speed matters Remember that slow counts, too Respect the danger of the unfamiliar Value the skeptic Be ready to “fight fire with fire” Managers make decisions with various amounts of information Certain environment Offers complete information on possible action alternatives and their consequences Risk environment Lacks complete information but offers probabilities of the likely outcomes for possible action alternatives Uncertain environment Lacks so much information that it is difficult to assign probabilities to the likely outcomes of alternative Ex: Certain and uncertain environments: The worldwide Governance Indicators for over 200 countries, comparing distinct environments (Canada-Brazil) Step 1-Identify and define the problem Focuses on information gathering information processing and deliberation Decision objectives should be established What are some common mistakes in definding problems? Common mistakes in defining problems Defining the problem too broadly or too narrowly Focusing on symptoms instead of causes Choosing the wrong problem to deal with Step 2- Generate and Evaluate Alternative Courses of Action Potential solutions are formulated and more information is gathered, data are analyzed, the advantages and disadvantages of alternative solutions are identified Common mistakes: Abandoning the search for alternatives too quickly Step 3- Decide on a preferred course of Action Two different approaches Behavioural model leads to satisficing decisions Classical model les to optimising decisions Behavioural Model Rationality is bounded because: There are limits our thinks capacity Available information (incomplete) Time constraints Step 4-Implement the decision Involves taking action to make sure the solution decided upon becomes a reality Managers need to have the willingness and ability to implement action plans Problems: Lack of participation error should be avoided Step 5 - Evaluate Results Involves comparing actual and desired results The positive and negative consequences of the chosen course of action should be examined If actual results fall short desire results, the manager returns to earlier steps in the decision-making process At all steps, check ethical reasoning Ask these spotlight questions Utility Does teh decision satisfy all constituents or stakeholders Rights Does the description respect the rights and duties of everyone? Justice Is the decision consistent with the canons of justice Caring Is the decision consistent with my responsibilities to care? Issues in decision-making How do errors happen? Heuristics: are strategies for simplifying decision-making Availability Bias: Bases a decision on recent information or events Representativeness bias: Bases a decision on similarity to other situations Anchoring and Adjustment Bias: Bases a decision on incremental adjustment from a prior decision point Framing error: Tring to solve a problem in the context perceived, positive or negative Confirmation Error: Focusing on information that confirms a decision already made Escalating commitment: Continuing a course of action even though it is not working Creative Decision making Creativity is the generation of a novel idea or unique approach that solves a problem or crafts an opportunity Big C: Creativity occurs when extraordinary things are done by exceptional people Little C: Creativity occurs when average people come up with unique ways to deal with daily events and situations The three types of situational creativity drivers Chapter review What are objectives and goals? The specific results or desired outcomes What are the 5 characteristics of great (SMART) goals? Forecasting - Attempts Qualitative forecasting uses options Quantitative forecasting uses mathematical models and statistical analysis of historical data and surveys Scenarios-Oracle’s crystal ball combines qualitative and quantitative methods

Data base

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Interpreting data based on a kine graph

Modello E-R di un data base

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